Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio (RS): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 August

Atletico Mineiro

D L D L L

11th place in Brazil Serie A

1-3

17/08/2025 19:00

Gremio (RS)

D W L W L

9th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio (RS) on 17 August 2025 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio (RS) preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Mineiro are currently 11th with 48 points after 38 matches.
Gremio (RS) sit 9th with 49 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Mineiro to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Atletico Mineiro and Gremio (RS) have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2025-08-17

Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio (RS) - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Mineiro

Gremio (RS)

2025-08-17 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/08/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

29/03/2025 21:30

Gremio (RS)

2 - 1

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

09/10/2024 22:30

Atletico Mineiro

2 - 1

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

01/09/2024 14:00

Gremio (RS)

2 - 3

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

26/11/2023 19:00

Atletico Mineiro

3 - 0

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

23/07/2023 00:00

Gremio (RS)

1 - 0

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

10/12/2021 00:30

Gremio (RS)

4 - 3

Atletico Mineiro

BRA D1

Atletico Mineiro

50%

Draw

Gremio (RS)

50%

Atletico Mineiro Last 6 matches

06/08/2025 22:00

Atletico Mineiro 0 - 1 Flamengo Copa do Brasil

03/08/2025 21:30

Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Bragantino BRA D1

01/08/2025 00:30

Flamengo 0 - 1 Atletico Mineiro Copa do Brasil

27/07/2025 23:30

Flamengo 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro BRA D1

25/07/2025 00:30

Atletico Mineiro 0 - 1 Atletico Bucaramanga CON CSA

20/07/2025 20:30

Palmeiras 3 - 2 Atletico Mineiro BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Gremio (RS)

03/08/2025 00:00

Fluminense RJ 1 - 0 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

29/07/2025 23:30

Gremio (RS) 2 - 1 Fortaleza BRA D1

27/07/2025 00:00

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

24/07/2025 00:30

Gremio (RS) 1 - 1 Alianza Lima CON CSA

19/07/2025 20:30

Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

17/07/2025 00:30

Alianza Lima 2 - 0 Gremio (RS) CON CSA

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Atletico Mineiro

Gremio (RS)

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

11 (58%)8 (42%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

10 (53%)9 (47%)

Atletico Mineiro

Recent matches

Gremio (RS)

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

/Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Mineiro

Gremio (RS)

Shots

Atletico Mineiro

Total shots

14.89 avg / game

Blocked

87 total

Avg. 4.83

Gremio (RS)

Total shots

11.79 avg / game

Blocked

54 total

Avg. 3.60

Atletico Mineiro Pass Gremio (RS)

Total passes

7849

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

6115

Avg. 322 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Mineiro

Played games

Gremio (RS)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.26

5.63

107

Corners

3.63

14.79

281

Throw-ins

296

15.58

1.37

Offsides

1.05

1.95

GK saves

2.47

Atletico Mineiro

DISCIPLINARY

Gremio (RS)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

2.11

0.26

0.00

12.89

245

Fouls

193

10.16

10.26

195

Tackles

259

13.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio (RS) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio (RS) on 17 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio (RS) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Mineiro's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio (RS)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Mineiro and Gremio (RS) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Brazil Serie A Predictions

Find every upcoming Brazil Serie A fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less