Atletico Madrid vs Valencia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Atletico Madrid

W W W W L

4th place in Spanish La Liga

2-0

28/01/2024 16:00

Valencia

L L D L L

9th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Valencia on 28 January 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Valencia preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 4th with 76 points after 38 matches.
Valencia sit 9th with 49 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 64%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Valencia have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-01-28

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Valencia

2024-01-28 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/01/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Madrid	95	38	29	8	1	87	26	61
02 FC Barcelona	85	38	26	7	5	79	44	35
03 Girona	81	38	25	6	7	85	46	39
04 Atletico Madrid	76	38	24	4	10	70	43	27
05 Athletic Bilbao	68	38	19	11	8	61	37	24
06 Real Sociedad	60	38	16	12	10	51	39	12
07 Real Betis	57	38	14	15	9	48	45	3
08 Villarreal	53	38	14	11	13	65	65	0
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	40	45	-5
10 Alaves	46	38	12	10	16	36	46	-10
11 Osasuna	45	38	12	9	17	45	56	-11
12 Getafe	43	38	10	13	15	42	54	-12
13 Celta Vigo	41	38	10	11	17	46	57	-11
14 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	48	54	-6
15 Mallorca	40	38	8	16	14	33	44	-11
16 Las Palmas	40	38	10	10	18	33	47	-14
17 Rayo Vallecano	38	38	8	14	16	29	48	-19
18 Cadiz	33	38	6	15	17	26	55	-29
19 Almeria	21	38	3	12	23	43	75	-32
20 Granada CF	21	38	4	9	25	38	79	-41

Head To Head

16/09/2023 10:15

Valencia

3 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

18/03/2023 16:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 0

Valencia

SPA D1

29/08/2022 16:00

Valencia

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

22/01/2022 16:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 2

Valencia

SPA D1

07/11/2021 11:15

Valencia

3 - 3

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

24/01/2021 16:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 1

Valencia

SPA D1

Atletico Madrid

67%

Draw

17%

Valencia

17%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

18/01/2024 16:30

Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Real Madrid SPA CUP

10/01/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 3 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA SUC

06/01/2024 11:00

CD Lugo 1 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA CUP

03/01/2024 16:30

Girona 4 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

23/12/2023 11:15

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Sevilla SPA D1

19/12/2023 16:30

Atletico Madrid 3 - 3 Getafe SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Valencia

20/01/2024 13:30

Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

17/01/2024 15:00

Valencia 1 - 3 Celta Vigo SPA CUP

14/01/2024 11:15

Cadiz 1 - 4 Valencia SPA D1

07/01/2024 14:00

FC Cartagena 1 - 1 Valencia SPA CUP

02/01/2024 16:30

Valencia 3 - 1 Villarreal SPA D1

19/12/2023 14:00

Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Valencia SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

311

Avg. per game

1.04

Conceded

173

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

219

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

210

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

194 (65%)106 (35%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

158 (53%)138 (47%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Valencia

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Valencia

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 2.93

Valencia

Total shots

10.87 avg / game

Blocked

621 total

Avg. 2.85

Atletico Madrid Pass Valencia

Total passes

134211

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

93422

Avg. 393 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Valencia

296

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.28

5.12

1535

Corners

1341

4.53

16.65

4994

Throw-ins

4806

16.24

2.18

653

Offsides

500

1.69

2.53

759

GK saves

709

2.40

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Valencia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.15

644

620

2.09

0.13

0.11

11.07

3320

Fouls

3440

11.62

13.67

4100

Tackles

3478

11.75

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Valencia on 28 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Valencia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Valencia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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