Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Atletico Madrid

W L W D W

3rd place in Spanish La Liga

6-1

04/03/2023 16:00

Sevilla

W W D D L

11th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla on 04 March 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd with 77 points after 38 matches.
Sevilla sit 11th with 49 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Atletico Madrid and Sevilla have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2023-03-04

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Sevilla

2023-03-04 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	70	20	50
02 Real Madrid	78	38	24	6	8	75	36	39
03 Atletico Madrid	77	38	23	8	7	70	33	37
04 Real Sociedad	71	38	21	8	9	51	35	16
05 Villarreal	64	38	19	7	12	59	40	19
06 Real Betis	60	38	17	9	12	46	41	5
07 Osasuna	53	38	15	8	15	37	42	-5
08 Athletic Bilbao	51	38	14	9	15	47	43	4
09 Mallorca	50	38	14	8	16	37	43	-6
10 Girona	49	38	13	10	15	58	55	3
11 Sevilla	49	38	13	10	15	47	54	-7
12 Rayo Vallecano	49	38	13	10	15	45	53	-8
13 Celta Vigo	43	38	11	10	17	43	53	-10
14 Valencia	42	38	11	9	18	42	45	-3
15 Getafe	42	38	10	12	16	34	45	-11
16 Cadiz	42	38	10	12	16	30	53	-23
17 Almeria	41	38	11	8	19	49	65	-16
18 Real Valladolid	40	38	11	7	20	33	63	-30
19 RCD Espanyol	37	38	8	13	17	52	69	-17
20 Elche	25	38	5	10	23	30	67	-37

Head To Head

01/10/2022 12:30

Sevilla

0 - 2

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

15/05/2022 13:30

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Sevilla

SPA D1

18/12/2021 16:00

Sevilla

2 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

04/04/2021 15:00

Sevilla

1 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

12/01/2021 16:30

Atletico Madrid

2 - 0

Sevilla

SPA D1

07/03/2020 11:00

Atletico Madrid

2 - 2

Sevilla

SPA D1

Atletico Madrid

33%

Draw

33%

Sevilla

33%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

25/02/2023 13:30

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

19/02/2023 13:30

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

12/02/2023 11:15

Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

04/02/2023 13:30

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Getafe SPA D1

29/01/2023 11:15

Osasuna 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

26/01/2023 16:00

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA CUP

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Sevilla

23/02/2023 13:45

PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0 Sevilla UEFA EL

19/02/2023 11:15

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla SPA D1

16/02/2023 16:00

Sevilla 3 - 0 PSV Eindhoven UEFA EL

11/02/2023 13:30

Sevilla 2 - 0 Mallorca SPA D1

05/02/2023 16:00

FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Sevilla SPA D1

28/01/2023 13:30

Sevilla 3 - 0 Elche SPA D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

218

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

204

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

193 (64%)107 (36%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

164 (55%)136 (45%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Sevilla

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Sevilla

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Sevilla

Total shots

11.81 avg / game

Blocked

625 total

Avg. 2.71

Atletico Madrid Pass Sevilla

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

115184

Avg. 461 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Sevilla

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.30

5.10

1529

Corners

1415

4.72

16.58

4975

Throw-ins

5062

16.87

2.17

650

Offsides

575

1.92

2.54

762

GK saves

729

2.43

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Sevilla

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.14

643

748

2.49

0.13

0.14

11.11

3334

Fouls

3399

11.33

13.63

4090

Tackles

3718

12.39

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla on 04 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sevilla's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Sevilla sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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