Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 September

Atletico Madrid

W W W W L

4th place in Spanish La Liga

3-1

24/09/2023 15:00

Real Madrid

W W W W D

1st place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid on 24 September 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 4th with 76 points after 38 matches.
Real Madrid sit 1st with 95 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Madrid have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2023-09-24

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid

2023-09-24 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 24/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Madrid	95	38	29	8	1	87	26	61
02 FC Barcelona	85	38	26	7	5	79	44	35
03 Girona	81	38	25	6	7	85	46	39
04 Atletico Madrid	76	38	24	4	10	70	43	27
05 Athletic Bilbao	68	38	19	11	8	61	37	24
06 Real Sociedad	60	38	16	12	10	51	39	12
07 Real Betis	57	38	14	15	9	48	45	3
08 Villarreal	53	38	14	11	13	65	65	0
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	40	45	-5
10 Alaves	46	38	12	10	16	36	46	-10
11 Osasuna	45	38	12	9	17	45	56	-11
12 Getafe	43	38	10	13	15	42	54	-12
13 Celta Vigo	41	38	10	11	17	46	57	-11
14 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	48	54	-6
15 Mallorca	40	38	8	16	14	33	44	-11
16 Las Palmas	40	38	10	10	18	33	47	-14
17 Rayo Vallecano	38	38	8	14	16	29	48	-19
18 Cadiz	33	38	6	15	17	26	55	-29
19 Almeria	21	38	3	12	23	43	75	-32
20 Granada CF	21	38	4	9	25	38	79	-41

Head To Head

25/02/2023 13:30

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

26/01/2023 16:00

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA CUP

18/09/2022 15:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

08/05/2022 15:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Real Madrid

SPA D1

12/12/2021 16:00

Real Madrid

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

07/03/2021 11:15

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

Atletico Madrid

17%

Draw

50%

Real Madrid

33%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

16/09/2023 10:15

Valencia 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

28/08/2023 15:30

Rayo Vallecano 0 - 7 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

24/08/2023 13:30

Numancia 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid INT CF

20/08/2023 15:30

Real Betis 0 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

14/08/2023 15:30

Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Granada CF SPA D1

05/08/2023 22:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Sevilla INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Real Madrid

02/09/2023 10:15

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Getafe SPA D1

25/08/2023 15:30

Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

19/08/2023 13:30

Almeria 1 - 3 Real Madrid SPA D1

12/08/2023 15:30

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 2 Real Madrid SPA D1

02/08/2023 19:35

Juventus 3 - 1 Real Madrid INT CF

29/07/2023 17:00

FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

363

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

193 (64%)107 (36%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

223 (74%)77 (26%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Real Madrid

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Real Madrid

Total shots

16.09 avg / game

Blocked

1059 total

Avg. 4.25

Atletico Madrid Pass Real Madrid

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

168019

Avg. 585 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Real Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

110

0.37

5.10

1529

Corners

1749

5.83

16.58

4975

Throw-ins

4506

15.02

2.17

650

Offsides

562

1.87

2.54

762

GK saves

875

2.92

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.14

643

534

1.78

0.13

0.08

11.11

3334

Fouls

2920

9.73

13.63

4090

Tackles

3854

12.85

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid on 24 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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