Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 April

Atletico Madrid

W L D L L

14th place in Group A

1-1

29/04/2026 15:00

Arsenal

W L D L W

1st place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal on 29 April 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 14th with 13 points after 8 matches.
Arsenal sit 1st with 24 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history favors Arsenal, who have won 2 of the last 5 meetings. Atletico Madrid have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-04-29

Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Arsenal

2026-04-29 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 29/04/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

21/10/2025 15:00

Arsenal

4 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

26/07/2018 07:35

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Arsenal

ICC

03/05/2018 15:05

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Arsenal

UEFA EL

26/04/2018 15:05

Arsenal

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

UEFA EL

01/08/2009 11:15

Arsenal

2 - 1

Atletico Madrid

Emirates S

Atletico Madrid

20%

Draw

40%

Arsenal

40%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

25/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

22/04/2026 13:00

Elche 3 - 2 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

18/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Real Sociedad SPA CUP

14/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona UEFA CL

11/04/2026 15:00

Sevilla 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

08/04/2026 15:00

FC Barcelona 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Arsenal

25/04/2026 12:30

Arsenal 1 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

19/04/2026 11:30

Manchester City 2 - 1 Arsenal ENG PR

15/04/2026 15:00

Arsenal 0 - 0 Sporting CP UEFA CL

11/04/2026 07:30

Arsenal 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

07/04/2026 15:00

Sporting CP 0 - 1 Arsenal UEFA CL

04/04/2026 15:00

Southampton 2 - 1 Arsenal ENG FAC

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

310

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

163

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

193 (64%)107 (36%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

182 (61%)118 (39%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Arsenal

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Arsenal

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Arsenal

Total shots

14.73 avg / game

Blocked

1177 total

Avg. 4.56

Atletico Madrid Pass Arsenal

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

141540

Avg. 497 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Arsenal

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

122

0.41

5.10

1529

Corners

1809

6.03

16.58

4975

Throw-ins

4590

15.30

2.17

650

Offsides

519

1.73

2.54

762

GK saves

626

2.09

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.14

643

460

1.53

0.13

0.05

11.11

3334

Fouls

2976

9.92

13.63

4090

Tackles

3689

12.30

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal on 29 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arsenal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Arsenal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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