Atlas vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 August

Atlas

L L L W D

17th place in Autumn

0-0

26/08/2023 19:00

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atlas vs Toluca on 26 August 2023 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atlas vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Atlas are currently 17th with 14 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 3rd with 32 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atlas to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Atlas have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2023-08-26

Atlas vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Atlas

Toluca

2023-08-26 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 26/08/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

01/02/2023 22:05

Atlas

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

10/07/2022 13:00

Toluca

3 - 2

Atlas

MEX D1

24/04/2022 13:00

Toluca

2 - 4

Atlas

MEX D1

21/08/2021 18:00

Atlas

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

27/02/2021 19:00

Toluca

0 - 0

Atlas

MEX D1

13/08/2020 20:00

Atlas

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

Atlas

17%

Draw

50%

Toluca

33%

Atlas Last 6 matches

20/08/2023 23:10

Club America 1 - 1 Atlas MEX D1

03/08/2023 20:10

Atlas 2 - 2 New England Revolution NCAL Cup

30/07/2023 19:30

Atlas 1 - 0 Toronto FC NCAL Cup

23/07/2023 19:10

New York City FC 0 - 1 Atlas NCAL Cup

19/07/2023 22:10

Atlas 1 - 1 Sporting Gijon INT CF

13/07/2023 21:05

Santos Laguna 0 - 0 Atlas MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Last 6 matches Toluca

18/08/2023 23:05

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

08/08/2023 20:10

Toluca 2 - 2 Minnesota United FC NCAL Cup

04/08/2023 21:10

Toluca 4 - 1 FC Kansas City NCAL Cup

31/07/2023 23:40

Toluca 4 - 1 Colorado Rapids NCAL Cup

27/07/2023 20:40

Nashville 3 - 4 Toluca NCAL Cup

16/07/2023 14:00

Toluca 2 - 4 FC Juarez MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

169

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

197

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

260

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

187

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 269 matches

YesNo

117 (43%)152 (57%)

In last 269 matches

NoYes

164 (59%)113 (41%)

Atlas

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atlas

Toluca

Shots

Atlas

Total shots

10.53 avg / game

Blocked

351 total

Avg. 2.56

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Atlas Pass Toluca

Total passes

67149

Avg. 341 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atlas

269

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.25

3.67

987

Corners

1167

4.21

6.02

1620

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.12

302

Offsides

363

1.31

2.20

591

GK saves

677

2.44

Atlas

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

496

512

1.85

0.15

0.10

9.81

2640

Fouls

2745

9.91

9.48

2551

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atlas vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atlas vs Toluca on 26 August 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atlas vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atlas's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Atlas and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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