Atlas vs Puebla Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 28

Atlas

L L L W D

17th place in Autumn

2-3

28/09/2023 22:00

Puebla

L L L L L

18th place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atlas vs Puebla on September 28, 2023 (kick-off: 22:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atlas vs Puebla preview before placing for you.

Atlas are currently 17th with 14 points after 17 matches.
Puebla sit 18th with 5 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atlas to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Atlas and Puebla have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:00

2023-09-28

Atlas vs Puebla - Prediction & Odds

Atlas

Puebla

2023-09-28 22:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

17/03/2023 21:00

Puebla

0 - 4

Atlas

MEX D1

20/08/2022 20:05

Atlas

1 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

11/02/2022 23:00

Puebla

1 - 1

Atlas

MEX D1

28/09/2021 22:00

Atlas

0 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

15/05/2021 19:00

Puebla

1 - 0

Atlas

MEX D1

12/05/2021 22:05

Atlas

1 - 0

Puebla

MEX D1

Atlas

33%

Draw

33%

Puebla

33%

Atlas Last 6 matches

22/09/2023 21:00

FC Juarez 1 - 2 Atlas MEX D1

17/09/2023 21:00

Atlas 2 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

03/09/2023 22:00

Atletico San Luis 2 - 0 Atlas MEX D1

30/08/2023 21:00

Queretaro FC 1 - 2 Atlas MEX D1

26/08/2023 19:00

Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

20/08/2023 23:10

Club America 1 - 1 Atlas MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Puebla

22/09/2023 23:10

Puebla 0 - 2 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

17/09/2023 19:00

Queretaro FC 1 - 1 Puebla MEX D1

01/09/2023 23:10

Puebla 3 - 0 Club Tijuana MEX D1

25/08/2023 21:00

Puebla 1 - 0 FC Juarez MEX D1

22/08/2023 21:00

Mazatlan FC 1 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

18/08/2023 23:05

Puebla 1 - 2 Atletico San Luis MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

170

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

199

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

161

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

231

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 271 matches

YesNo

118 (44%)153 (56%)

In last 271 matches

NoYes

110 (45%)132 (55%)

Atlas

Recent matches

Puebla

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atlas

Puebla

Shots

Atlas

Total shots

10.55 avg / game

Blocked

359 total

Avg. 2.58

Puebla

Total shots

11.45 avg / game

Blocked

394 total

Avg. 2.81

Atlas Pass Puebla

Total passes

68154

Avg. 342 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

62681

Avg. 341 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atlas

271

Played games

Puebla

242

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.19

3.68

998

Corners

930

3.84

6.13

1661

Throw-ins

1484

6.13

1.12

304

Offsides

266

1.10

2.20

595

GK saves

699

2.89

Atlas

DISCIPLINARY

Puebla

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

502

504

2.08

0.15

0.16

9.83

2664

Fouls

2832

11.70

9.52

2579

Tackles

2456

10.15

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atlas vs Puebla Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atlas vs Puebla on 28 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atlas vs Puebla Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atlas's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Puebla's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Atlas and Puebla sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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