Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – August 12

Athletic Bilbao

L W D L W

5th place in Spanish La Liga

0-2

12/08/2023 15:30

Real Madrid

W W W W D

1st place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid on August 12, 2023 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid preview before placing for you.

Athletic Bilbao are currently 5th with 68 points after 38 matches.
Real Madrid sit 1st with 95 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Athletic Bilbao have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2023-08-12

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

2023-08-12 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 12/08/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Madrid	95	38	29	8	1	87	26	61
02 FC Barcelona	85	38	26	7	5	79	44	35
03 Girona	81	38	25	6	7	85	46	39
04 Atletico Madrid	76	38	24	4	10	70	43	27
05 Athletic Bilbao	68	38	19	11	8	61	37	24
06 Real Sociedad	60	38	16	12	10	51	39	12
07 Real Betis	57	38	14	15	9	48	45	3
08 Villarreal	53	38	14	11	13	65	65	0
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	40	45	-5
10 Alaves	46	38	12	10	16	36	46	-10
11 Osasuna	45	38	12	9	17	45	56	-11
12 Getafe	43	38	10	13	15	42	54	-12
13 Celta Vigo	41	38	10	11	17	46	57	-11
14 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	48	54	-6
15 Mallorca	40	38	8	16	14	33	44	-11
16 Las Palmas	40	38	10	10	18	33	47	-14
17 Rayo Vallecano	38	38	8	14	16	29	48	-19
18 Cadiz	33	38	6	15	17	26	55	-29
19 Almeria	21	38	3	12	23	43	75	-32
20 Granada CF	21	38	4	9	25	38	79	-41

Head To Head

04/06/2023 12:30

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

22/01/2023 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

03/02/2022 16:30

Athletic Bilbao

1 - 0

Real Madrid

SPA CUP

16/01/2022 14:30

Real Madrid

2 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA SUC

22/12/2021 16:30

Athletic Bilbao

1 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

01/12/2021 16:00

Real Madrid

1 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

Athletic Bilbao

17%

Draw

17%

Real Madrid

67%

Athletic Bilbao Last 6 matches

03/08/2023 13:30

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Eibar INT CF

01/08/2023 14:30

Celtic FC 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao INT CF

27/07/2023 13:00

Racing Santander 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao INT CF

19/07/2023 23:00

Necaxa 0 - 2 Athletic Bilbao INT CF

16/07/2023 14:00

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao INT CF

04/06/2023 12:30

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Real Madrid

02/08/2023 19:35

Juventus 3 - 1 Real Madrid INT CF

29/07/2023 17:00

FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid INT CF

26/07/2023 20:35

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Manchester United INT CF

23/07/2023 22:10

Real Madrid 3 - 2 AC Milan INT CF

04/06/2023 12:30

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

27/05/2023 13:00

Sevilla 1 - 2 Real Madrid SPA D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.21

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

13 (68%)6 (32%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

16 (84%)3 (16%)

Athletic Bilbao

Recent matches

Real Madrid

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

/Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(37%)7 12(63%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

Shots

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

14.26 avg / game

Blocked

62 total

Avg. 3.26

Real Madrid

Total shots

18.00 avg / game

Blocked

79 total

Avg. 4.39

Athletic Bilbao Pass Real Madrid

Total passes

8860

Avg. 466 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

12189

Avg. 642 / game

Accurate

91%

Ball possession

61%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Athletic Bilbao

Played games

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.63

5.95

113

Corners

115

6.05

21.79

414

Throw-ins

342

18.00

2.58

Offsides

2.42

2.37

GK saves

2.05

Athletic Bilbao

DISCIPLINARY

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

1.68

0.05

0.00

13.00

247

Fouls

168

8.84

15.16

288

Tackles

266

14.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid on 12 August 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Athletic Bilbao's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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