Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 December

Athletic Bilbao

L W L L D

12th place in Spanish La Liga

0-3

03/12/2025 14:00

Real Madrid

D W L W W

2nd place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid on 03 December 2025 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Athletic Bilbao are currently 12th with 45 points after 38 matches.
Real Madrid sit 2nd with 86 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 50%.
Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Athletic Bilbao have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2025-12-03

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

2025-12-03 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 03/12/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	94	38	31	1	6	95	36	59
02 Real Madrid	86	38	27	5	6	77	35	42
03 Villarreal	72	38	22	6	10	72	46	26
04 Atletico Madrid	69	38	21	6	11	62	44	18
05 Real Betis	60	38	15	15	8	59	48	11
06 Celta Vigo	54	38	14	12	12	53	48	5
07 Getafe	51	38	15	6	17	32	38	-6
08 Rayo Vallecano	50	38	12	14	12	41	44	-3
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	46	55	-9
10 Real Sociedad	46	38	11	13	14	59	61	-2
11 RCD Espanyol	46	38	12	10	16	43	55	-12
12 Athletic Bilbao	45	38	13	6	19	43	58	-15
13 Sevilla	43	38	12	7	19	46	60	-14
14 Alaves	43	38	11	10	17	44	56	-12
15 Elche	43	38	10	13	15	49	57	-8
16 Levante	42	38	11	9	18	47	61	-14
17 Osasuna	42	38	11	9	18	44	50	-6
18 Mallorca	42	38	11	9	18	47	57	-10
19 Girona	41	38	9	14	15	39	55	-16
20 Real Oviedo	29	38	6	11	21	26	60	-34

Head To Head

20/04/2025 15:00

Real Madrid

1 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

04/12/2024 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

31/03/2024 15:00

Real Madrid

2 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

12/08/2023 15:30

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

04/06/2023 12:30

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

22/01/2023 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

Athletic Bilbao

17%

Draw

17%

Real Madrid

67%

Athletic Bilbao Last 6 matches

29/11/2025 13:30

Levante 0 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

25/11/2025 16:00

Slavia Praha 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao UEFA CL

22/11/2025 11:15

FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

09/11/2025 09:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Real Oviedo SPA D1

05/11/2025 16:00

Newcastle United 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao UEFA CL

01/11/2025 13:30

Real Sociedad 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Real Madrid

30/11/2025 16:00

Girona 1 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

26/11/2025 16:00

Olympiakos Piraeus 3 - 4 Real Madrid UEFA CL

23/11/2025 16:00

Elche 2 - 2 Real Madrid SPA D1

09/11/2025 11:15

Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Real Madrid SPA D1

04/11/2025 16:00

Liverpool 1 - 0 Real Madrid UEFA CL

01/11/2025 16:00

Real Madrid 4 - 0 Valencia SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

1.32

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

10 (53%)9 (47%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

15 (79%)4 (21%)

Athletic Bilbao

Recent matches

Real Madrid

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

Shots

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

15.11 avg / game

Blocked

85 total

Avg. 4.47

Real Madrid

Total shots

18.89 avg / game

Blocked

82 total

Avg. 4.56

Athletic Bilbao Pass Real Madrid

Total passes

8047

Avg. 424 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

11000

Avg. 611 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

61%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Athletic Bilbao

Played games

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.32

6.32

120

Corners

119

6.26

21.00

399

Throw-ins

286

15.05

1.58

Offsides

2.21

2.42

GK saves

2.05

Athletic Bilbao

DISCIPLINARY

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

1.95

0.05

0.21

13.37

254

Fouls

177

9.32

8.63

164

Tackles

162

8.53

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid on 03 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Athletic Bilbao's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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