Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Athletic Bilbao

L W L L D

12th place in Spanish La Liga

1-1

17/05/2026 13:00

Celta Vigo

L W W L D

6th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo preview before placing your bet.

Athletic Bilbao are currently 12th with 45 points after 38 matches.
Celta Vigo sit 6th with 54 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Athletic Bilbao, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Celta Vigo have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:00

2026-05-17

Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo - Prediction & Odds

Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo

2026-05-17 13:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	94	38	31	1	6	95	36	59
02 Real Madrid	86	38	27	5	6	77	35	42
03 Villarreal	72	38	22	6	10	72	46	26
04 Atletico Madrid	69	38	21	6	11	62	44	18
05 Real Betis	60	38	15	15	8	59	48	11
06 Celta Vigo	54	38	14	12	12	53	48	5
07 Getafe	51	38	15	6	17	32	38	-6
08 Rayo Vallecano	50	38	12	14	12	41	44	-3
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	46	55	-9
10 Real Sociedad	46	38	11	13	14	59	61	-2
11 RCD Espanyol	46	38	12	10	16	43	55	-12
12 Athletic Bilbao	45	38	13	6	19	43	58	-15
13 Sevilla	43	38	12	7	19	46	60	-14
14 Alaves	43	38	11	10	17	44	56	-12
15 Elche	43	38	10	13	15	49	57	-8
16 Levante	42	38	11	9	18	47	61	-14
17 Osasuna	42	38	11	9	18	44	50	-6
18 Mallorca	42	38	11	9	18	47	57	-10
19 Girona	41	38	9	14	15	39	55	-16
20 Real Oviedo	29	38	6	11	21	26	60	-34

Head To Head

14/12/2025 11:15

Celta Vigo

2 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

19/01/2025 09:00

Celta Vigo

1 - 2

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

22/09/2024 10:15

Athletic Bilbao

3 - 1

Celta Vigo

SPA D1

15/05/2024 16:00

Celta Vigo

2 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

10/11/2023 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

4 - 3

Celta Vigo

SPA D1

20/05/2023 10:15

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 1

Celta Vigo

SPA D1

Athletic Bilbao

67%

Draw

Celta Vigo

33%

Athletic Bilbao Last 6 matches

13/05/2026 13:00

RCD Espanyol 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

10/05/2026 10:15

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Valencia SPA D1

02/05/2026 12:30

Alaves 2 - 4 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

25/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

21/04/2026 13:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Osasuna SPA D1

12/04/2026 15:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 Villarreal SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Celta Vigo

12/05/2026 13:00

Celta Vigo 2 - 3 Levante SPA D1

09/05/2026 12:30

Atletico Madrid 0 - 1 Celta Vigo SPA D1

03/05/2026 08:00

Celta Vigo 3 - 1 Elche SPA D1

26/04/2026 15:00

Villarreal 2 - 1 Celta Vigo SPA D1

22/04/2026 15:30

FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Celta Vigo SPA D1

16/04/2026 12:45

Celta Vigo 1 - 3 SC Freiburg UEFA EL

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

10 (53%)9 (47%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

12 (63%)7 (37%)

Athletic Bilbao

Recent matches

Celta Vigo

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)12 7(37%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo

Shots

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

15.11 avg / game

Blocked

85 total

Avg. 4.47

Celta Vigo

Total shots

11.47 avg / game

Blocked

47 total

Avg. 2.61

Athletic Bilbao Pass Celta Vigo

Total passes

8047

Avg. 424 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

10048

Avg. 529 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Athletic Bilbao

Played games

Celta Vigo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.21

6.32

120

Corners

4.53

21.00

399

Throw-ins

359

18.89

1.58

Offsides

1.74

2.42

GK saves

2.42

Athletic Bilbao

DISCIPLINARY

Celta Vigo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

1.53

0.05

0.05

13.37

254

Fouls

194

10.21

8.63

164

Tackles

164

8.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Athletic Bilbao's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Celta Vigo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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