Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – December 16

Athletic Bilbao

L W D L W

5th place in Spanish La Liga

2-0

16/12/2023 15:15

Atletico Madrid

W W W W L

4th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid on December 16, 2023 (kick-off: 15:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing for you.

Athletic Bilbao are currently 5th with 68 points after 38 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 4th with 76 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Athletic Bilbao, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Madrid have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:15

2023-12-16

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid

2023-12-16 15:15

STANDINGS UP TO 16/12/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Madrid	95	38	29	8	1	87	26	61
02 FC Barcelona	85	38	26	7	5	79	44	35
03 Girona	81	38	25	6	7	85	46	39
04 Atletico Madrid	76	38	24	4	10	70	43	27
05 Athletic Bilbao	68	38	19	11	8	61	37	24
06 Real Sociedad	60	38	16	12	10	51	39	12
07 Real Betis	57	38	14	15	9	48	45	3
08 Villarreal	53	38	14	11	13	65	65	0
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	40	45	-5
10 Alaves	46	38	12	10	16	36	46	-10
11 Osasuna	45	38	12	9	17	45	56	-11
12 Getafe	43	38	10	13	15	42	54	-12
13 Celta Vigo	41	38	10	11	17	46	57	-11
14 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	48	54	-6
15 Mallorca	40	38	8	16	14	33	44	-11
16 Las Palmas	40	38	10	10	18	33	47	-14
17 Rayo Vallecano	38	38	8	14	16	29	48	-19
18 Cadiz	33	38	6	15	17	26	55	-29
19 Almeria	21	38	3	12	23	43	75	-32
20 Granada CF	21	38	4	9	25	38	79	-41

Head To Head

19/02/2023 17:30

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

15/10/2022 19:00

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

30/04/2022 19:00

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

13/01/2022 19:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 2

Athletic Bilbao

SPA SUC

18/09/2021 14:15

Atletico Madrid

0 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

25/04/2021 19:00

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

Athletic Bilbao

50%

Draw

17%

Atletico Madrid

33%

Athletic Bilbao Last 6 matches

07/12/2023 20:00

CD Cayon 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao SPA CUP

02/12/2023 15:15

Athletic Bilbao 4 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

27/11/2023 20:00

Girona 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

10/11/2023 20:00

Athletic Bilbao 4 - 3 Celta Vigo SPA D1

05/11/2023 17:30

Villarreal 2 - 3 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

01/11/2023 20:30

UE Rubi 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA CUP

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

03/12/2023 20:00

FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

28/11/2023 20:00

Feyenoord 1 - 3 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

25/11/2023 20:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Mallorca SPA D1

12/11/2023 20:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Villarreal SPA D1

07/11/2023 20:00

Atletico Madrid 6 - 0 Celtic FC UEFA CL

03/11/2023 20:00

Las Palmas 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

210

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

193

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

145 (48%)155 (52%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

193 (64%)107 (36%)

Athletic Bilbao

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

13.07 avg / game

Blocked

746 total

Avg. 3.49

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Athletic Bilbao Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

101749

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Athletic Bilbao

300

Played games

Atletico Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

104

Clean sheets

0.33

5.57

1671

Corners

1529

5.10

17.28

5184

Throw-ins

4975

16.58

1.72

515

Offsides

650

2.17

2.14

642

GK saves

762

2.54

Athletic Bilbao

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

556

643

2.14

0.09

0.13

11.66

3498

Fouls

3334

11.11

11.00

3299

Tackles

4090

13.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid on 16 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Athletic Bilbao's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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