Atalanta vs AC Milan: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 October

Atalanta

D L D W L

7th place in Italian Serie A

1-1

28/10/2025 15:45

AC Milan

W D L L W

5th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atalanta vs AC Milan on 28 October 2025 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atalanta vs AC Milan preview before placing your bet.

Atalanta are currently 7th with 59 points after 38 matches.
AC Milan sit 5th with 70 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atalanta to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history favors Atalanta, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. AC Milan have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2025-10-28

Atalanta vs AC Milan - Prediction & Odds

Atalanta

AC Milan

2025-10-28 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 28/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	87	38	27	6	5	89	35	54
02 Napoli	76	38	23	7	8	58	36	22
03 AS Roma	73	38	23	4	11	59	31	28
04 Como	71	38	20	11	7	65	29	36
05 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	53	35	18
06 Juventus	69	38	19	12	7	61	34	27
07 Atalanta	59	38	15	14	9	51	36	15
08 Bologna	56	38	16	8	14	49	46	3
09 Lazio	54	38	14	12	12	41	40	1
10 Udinese	50	38	14	8	16	45	48	-3
11 Sassuolo	49	38	14	7	17	46	50	-4
12 Torino	45	38	12	9	17	44	63	-19
13 Parma	45	38	11	12	15	28	46	-18
14 Cagliari	43	38	11	10	17	40	53	-13
15 Fiorentina	42	38	9	15	14	41	50	-9
16 Genoa	41	38	10	11	17	41	51	-10
17 Lecce	38	38	10	8	20	28	50	-22
18 Cremonese	34	38	8	10	20	32	57	-25
19 Verona	21	38	3	12	23	25	61	-36
20 Pisa	18	38	2	12	24	26	71	-45

Head To Head

20/04/2025 14:45

AC Milan

0 - 1

Atalanta

ITA D1

06/12/2024 15:45

Atalanta

2 - 1

AC Milan

ITA D1

25/02/2024 15:45

AC Milan

1 - 1

Atalanta

ITA D1

10/01/2024 16:00

AC Milan

1 - 2

Atalanta

ITA Cup

09/12/2023 13:00

Atalanta

3 - 2

AC Milan

ITA D1

26/02/2023 15:45

AC Milan

2 - 0

Atalanta

ITA D1

Atalanta

67%

Draw

17%

AC Milan

17%

Atalanta Last 6 matches

25/10/2025 14:45

Cremonese 1 - 1 Atalanta ITA D1

22/10/2025 15:00

Atalanta 0 - 0 Slavia Praha UEFA CL

19/10/2025 12:00

Atalanta 0 - 0 Lazio ITA D1

04/10/2025 14:45

Atalanta 1 - 1 Como ITA D1

30/09/2025 12:45

Atalanta 2 - 1 Club Brugge UEFA CL

27/09/2025 12:00

Juventus 1 - 1 Atalanta ITA D1

Win

17%

Draw

83%

Lost

Last 6 matches AC Milan

24/10/2025 14:45

AC Milan 2 - 2 Pisa ITA D1

19/10/2025 14:45

AC Milan 2 - 1 Fiorentina ITA D1

05/10/2025 14:45

Juventus 0 - 0 AC Milan ITA D1

28/09/2025 14:45

AC Milan 2 - 1 Napoli ITA D1

23/09/2025 15:00

AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce ITA Cup

20/09/2025 14:45

Udinese 0 - 3 AC Milan ITA D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

312

Avg. per game

1.04

Conceded

190

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

270

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

183

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

193 (64%)107 (36%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

178 (59%)122 (41%)

Atalanta

Recent matches

AC Milan

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atalanta

AC Milan

Shots

Atalanta

Total shots

14.28 avg / game

Blocked

991 total

Avg. 3.92

AC Milan

Total shots

14.07 avg / game

Blocked

911 total

Avg. 3.78

Atalanta Pass AC Milan

Total passes

132638

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

129020

Avg. 471 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atalanta

300

Played games

AC Milan

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

102

0.34

5.26

1578

Corners

1468

4.89

17.65

5295

Throw-ins

4513

15.04

1.65

495

Offsides

486

1.62

2.45

735

GK saves

806

2.69

Atalanta

DISCIPLINARY

AC Milan

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

528

558

1.86

0.05

0.10

11.41

3424

Fouls

3281

10.94

13.00

3899

Tackles

4021

13.40

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atalanta vs AC Milan on 28 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atalanta vs AC Milan Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atalanta's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AC Milan's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Atalanta and AC Milan sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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