Aston Villa vs Everton: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Aston Villa

W L W L W

No standing data

1-2

27/09/2023 14:45

Everton

W L D W L

No standing data

England League Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Everton on 27 September 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Everton preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Everton have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2023-09-27

Aston Villa vs Everton - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Everton

2023-09-27 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2023

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Aston Villa and Everton in the England League Cup football standings for the 2023-2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

20/08/2023 09:00

Aston Villa

4 - 0

Everton

ENG PR

25/02/2023 11:00

Everton

0 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

13/08/2022 07:30

Aston Villa

2 - 1

Everton

ENG PR

22/01/2022 08:30

Everton

0 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

18/09/2021 12:30

Aston Villa

3 - 0

Everton

ENG PR

13/05/2021 13:00

Aston Villa

0 - 0

Everton

ENG PR

Aston Villa

83%

Draw

17%

Everton

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

24/09/2023 09:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

21/09/2023 12:45

Legia Warszawa 3 - 2 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

16/09/2023 10:00

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

03/09/2023 09:00

Liverpool 3 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

31/08/2023 15:00

Aston Villa 3 - 0 Hibernian UEFA ECL

27/08/2023 09:00

Burnley 1 - 3 Aston Villa ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Everton

23/09/2023 12:30

Brentford 1 - 3 Everton ENG PR

17/09/2023 11:30

Everton 0 - 1 Arsenal ENG PR

02/09/2023 07:30

Sheffield United 2 - 2 Everton ENG PR

30/08/2023 15:00

Doncaster Rovers 1 - 2 Everton ENG LC

26/08/2023 10:00

Everton 0 - 1 Wolves ENG PR

20/08/2023 09:00

Aston Villa 4 - 0 Everton ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

193

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

217

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

184 (61%)116 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

137 (48%)151 (52%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Everton

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Everton

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

833 total

Avg. 3.36

Everton

Total shots

11.35 avg / game

Blocked

763 total

Avg. 3.27

Aston Villa Pass Everton

Total passes

114242

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

93225

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

43%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

300

Played games

Everton

288

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.30

5.20

1561

Corners

1243

4.32

13.24

3972

Throw-ins

4727

16.41

1.23

369

Offsides

466

1.62

2.64

793

GK saves

810

2.81

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Everton

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

544

517

1.80

0.06

0.07

9.65

2895

Fouls

2724

9.46

12.03

3610

Tackles

4225

14.67

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Indonesia Super League All Star

Aston Villa

INT

08/16

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Everton Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Everton on 27 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Everton Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Everton's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League Cup standings and the England League Cup form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Everton sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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