Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 04

Aston Villa

W L L W D

7th place in English Premier League

1-0

04/03/2023 11:00

Crystal Palace

L W L W D

11th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace on March 04, 2023 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace preview before placing for you.

Aston Villa are currently 7th with 61 points after 38 matches.
Crystal Palace sit 11th with 45 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Crystal Palace have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2023-03-04

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Crystal Palace

2023-03-04 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	89	38	28	5	5	94	33	61
02 Arsenal	84	38	26	6	6	88	43	45
03 Manchester United	75	38	23	6	9	58	43	15
04 Newcastle United	71	38	19	14	5	68	33	35
05 Liverpool	67	38	19	10	9	75	47	28
06 Brighton Hove Albion	62	38	18	8	12	72	53	19
07 Aston Villa	61	38	18	7	13	51	46	5
08 Tottenham Hotspur	60	38	18	6	14	70	63	7
09 Brentford	59	38	15	14	9	58	46	12
10 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	55	53	2
11 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9
12 Chelsea	44	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9
13 Wolves	41	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27
14 West Ham United	40	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13
15 AFC Bournemouth	39	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34
16 Nottingham Forest	38	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30
17 Everton	36	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23
18 Leicester City	34	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17
19 Leeds United	31	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30
20 Southampton	25	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37

Head To Head

20/08/2022 10:00

Crystal Palace

3 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

15/05/2022 09:00

Aston Villa

1 - 1

Crystal Palace

ENG PR

27/11/2021 11:00

Crystal Palace

1 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

16/05/2021 07:00

Crystal Palace

3 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

26/12/2020 11:00

Aston Villa

3 - 0

Crystal Palace

ENG PR

12/07/2020 09:15

Aston Villa

2 - 0

Crystal Palace

ENG PR

Aston Villa

50%

Draw

17%

Crystal Palace

33%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

18/02/2023 08:30

Aston Villa 2 - 4 Arsenal ENG PR

12/02/2023 12:30

Manchester City 3 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

04/02/2023 11:00

Aston Villa 2 - 4 Leicester City ENG PR

21/01/2023 11:10

Southampton 0 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

13/01/2023 16:00

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Leeds United ENG PR

08/01/2023 12:30

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Stevenage Borough ENG FAC

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Crystal Palace

18/02/2023 11:00

Brentford 1 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

11/02/2023 11:00

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

04/02/2023 11:00

Manchester United 2 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

21/01/2023 13:30

Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

18/01/2023 16:00

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

15/01/2023 10:00

Chelsea 1 - 0 Crystal Palace ENG PR

Win

Draw

67%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

273

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

219

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

222

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

185 (62%)115 (38%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

166 (55%)134 (45%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Crystal Palace

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Crystal Palace

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.16 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.37

Crystal Palace

Total shots

11.46 avg / game

Blocked

802 total

Avg. 3.34

Aston Villa Pass Crystal Palace

Total passes

113540

Avg. 437 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

103827

Avg. 406 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

300

Played games

Crystal Palace

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.30

5.24

1573

Corners

1283

4.28

13.08

3923

Throw-ins

4812

16.04

1.21

363

Offsides

506

1.69

2.61

782

GK saves

746

2.49

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Crystal Palace

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.80

539

498

1.66

0.06

0.05

9.57

2870

Fouls

3052

10.17

11.93

3578

Tackles

4208

14.03

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace on 04 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Crystal Palace's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Crystal Palace sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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