Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 18

Aston Villa

W L L W D

7th place in English Premier League

2 - 4

18/02/2023 08:30

Arsenal

L W W L L

2nd place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Arsenal on February 18, 2023 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Arsenal preview before placing for you.

Aston Villa are currently 7th with 61 points after 38 matches.
Arsenal sit 2nd with 84 points from 38 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 18/02/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	89	38	28	5	5	94	33	61
02 Arsenal	84	38	26	6	6	88	43	45
03 Manchester United	75	38	23	6	9	58	43	15
04 Newcastle United	71	38	19	14	5	68	33	35
05 Liverpool	67	38	19	10	9	75	47	28
06 Brighton Hove Albion	62	38	18	8	12	72	53	19
07 Aston Villa	61	38	18	7	13	51	46	5
08 Tottenham Hotspur	60	38	18	6	14	70	63	7
09 Brentford	59	38	15	14	9	58	46	12
10 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	55	53	2
11 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9
12 Chelsea	44	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9
13 Wolves	41	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27
14 West Ham United	40	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13
15 AFC Bournemouth	39	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34
16 Nottingham Forest	38	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30
17 Everton	36	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23
18 Leicester City	34	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17
19 Leeds United	31	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30
20 Southampton	25	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

04/08/2026 20:15

BG Pathum United 1 - 3 Aston Villa International Club Friendly

01/08/2026 19:30

Indonesia Super League All Star 1 - 3 Aston Villa International Club Friendly

29/07/2026 01:30

Aston Villa 2 - 4 Real Sociedad International Club Friendly

26/07/2026 02:00

FC Porto 2 - 1 Aston Villa International Club Friendly

22/07/2026 01:30

Walsall 0 - 5 Aston Villa International Club Friendly

24/05/2026 22:00

Manchester City 1 - 2 Aston Villa English Premier League

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Arsenal

06/08/2026 01:45

Arsenal 1 - 3 Real Betis International Club Friendly

02/08/2026 01:00

Girona 1 - 4 Arsenal International Club Friendly

30/05/2026 23:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 1 Arsenal UEFA Champions League

24/05/2026 22:00

Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Arsenal English Premier League

19/05/2026 02:00

Arsenal 1 - 0 Burnley English Premier League

10/05/2026 22:30

West Ham United 0 - 1 Arsenal English Premier League

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

273

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

219

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

310

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

163

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

185 (62%)115 (38%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

182 (61%)118 (39%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Arsenal

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Arsenal

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.16 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.37

Arsenal

Total shots

14.71 avg / game

Blocked

1177 total

Avg. 4.56

Aston Villa Pass Arsenal

Total passes

113540

Avg. 437 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

141642

Avg. 497 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

300

Played games

Arsenal

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

121

0.40

5.24

1573

Corners

1803

6.01

13.08

3923

Throw-ins

4581

15.27

1.21

363

Offsides

522

1.74

2.61

782

GK saves

623

2.08

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.80

539

460

1.53

0.06

0.05

9.57

2870

Fouls

2976

9.92

11.93

3578

Tackles

3690

12.30

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Arsenal on 18 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arsenal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Arsenal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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