Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 April

Aston Villa

W W D L D

4th place in English Premier League

3-1

21/04/2024 14:00

AFC Bournemouth

L W W L L

12th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth on 21 April 2024 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa are currently 4th with 68 points after 38 matches.
AFC Bournemouth sit 12th with 48 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Bournemouth, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Aston Villa have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2024-04-21

Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

AFC Bournemouth

2024-04-21 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/04/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

03/12/2023 14:00

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

18/03/2023 15:00

Aston Villa

3 - 0

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

06/08/2022 14:00

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

01/02/2020 15:00

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

17/08/2019 14:00

Aston Villa

1 - 2

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

09/04/2016 14:00

Aston Villa

1 - 2

AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

Aston Villa

17%

Draw

17%

AFC Bournemouth

67%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

11/04/2024 19:00

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Lille UEFA ECL

06/04/2024 14:00

Aston Villa 3 - 3 Brentford ENG PR

03/04/2024 19:15

Manchester City 4 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

30/03/2024 17:30

Aston Villa 2 - 0 Wolves ENG PR

17/03/2024 14:00

West Ham United 1 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

14/03/2024 20:00

Aston Villa 4 - 0 AFC Ajax UEFA ECL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches AFC Bournemouth

13/04/2024 16:30

AFC Bournemouth 2 - 2 Manchester United ENG PR

06/04/2024 14:00

Luton Town 2 - 1 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

02/04/2024 18:45

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 Crystal Palace ENG PR

30/03/2024 15:00

AFC Bournemouth 2 - 1 Everton ENG PR

13/03/2024 19:30

AFC Bournemouth 4 - 3 Luton Town ENG PR

09/03/2024 15:00

AFC Bournemouth 2 - 2 Sheffield United ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

272

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

263

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

184 (61%)116 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

170 (57%)129 (43%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

AFC Bournemouth

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

AFC Bournemouth

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.13 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.35

AFC Bournemouth

Total shots

12.90 avg / game

Blocked

879 total

Avg. 3.54

Aston Villa Pass AFC Bournemouth

Total passes

113828

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

110626

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

300

Played games

AFC Bournemouth

299

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.29

5.22

1565

Corners

1538

5.14

13.18

3954

Throw-ins

5525

18.48

1.22

365

Offsides

419

1.40

2.62

787

GK saves

793

2.65

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Bournemouth

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

543

561

1.88

0.06

0.06

9.60

2881

Fouls

3357

11.23

11.98

3595

Tackles

3865

12.93

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth on 21 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs AFC Bournemouth Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Bournemouth's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and AFC Bournemouth sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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