Aston Villa vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 March

Aston Villa

L D W W W

1st place in Group E

4-0

14/03/2024 16:00

AFC Ajax

D D W L D

No standing data

UEFA Europa Conference League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs AFC Ajax on 14 March 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa are currently 1st with 13 points after 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 66%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. AFC Ajax have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-03-14

Aston Villa vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

AFC Ajax

2024-03-14 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/03/2024

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Aston Villa	13	6	4	1	1	12	7	5
02 Legia Warszawa	12	6	4	0	2	10	6	4
03 AZ Alkmaar	6	6	2	0	4	7	12	-5
04 HSK Zrinjski Mostar	4	6	1	1	4	6	10	-4

Head To Head

07/03/2024 13:45

AFC Ajax

0 - 0

Aston Villa

UEFA ECL

23/10/2008 15:15

Aston Villa

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

UEFA EL

Aston Villa

50%

Draw

50%

AFC Ajax

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

10/03/2024 09:00

Aston Villa 0 - 4 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

07/03/2024 13:45

AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

02/03/2024 13:30

Luton Town 2 - 3 Aston Villa ENG PR

24/02/2024 11:00

Aston Villa 4 - 2 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

17/02/2024 11:00

Fulham 1 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

11/02/2024 12:30

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Manchester United ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

10/03/2024 09:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

07/03/2024 13:45

AFC Ajax 0 - 0 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

03/03/2024 07:15

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 FC Utrecht HOL D1

25/02/2024 11:45

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 AFC Ajax HOL D1

22/02/2024 13:45

Bodo Glimt 1 - 1 AFC Ajax UEFA ECL

18/02/2024 09:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa Conference...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

272

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

226

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

184 (61%)116 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

199 (66%)101 (34%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

AFC Ajax

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.13 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.35

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.05 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.99

Aston Villa Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

113828

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

146219

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

300

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

101

0.34

5.22

1565

Corners

1709

5.70

13.18

3954

Throw-ins

4370

14.57

1.22

365

Offsides

495

1.65

2.62

787

GK saves

765

2.55

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

543

440

1.47

0.06

0.08

9.60

2881

Fouls

2936

9.79

11.98

3595

Tackles

3597

11.99

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs AFC Ajax on 14 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa Conference League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa Conference League standings and the UEFA Europa Conference League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa Conference League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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