Arsenal vs Southampton: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Arsenal

W D L D W

2nd place in English Premier League

3-1

05/10/2024 14:00

Southampton

D L L D L

20th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arsenal vs Southampton on 05 October 2024 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arsenal vs Southampton preview before placing your bet.

Arsenal are currently 2nd with 74 points after 38 matches.
Southampton sit 20th with 12 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 82%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Arsenal and Southampton have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2024-10-05

Arsenal vs Southampton - Prediction & Odds

Arsenal

Southampton

2024-10-05 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

21/04/2023 19:00

Arsenal

3 - 3

Southampton

ENG PR

23/10/2022 13:00

Southampton

1 - 1

Arsenal

ENG PR

16/04/2022 14:00

Southampton

1 - 0

Arsenal

ENG PR

11/12/2021 15:00

Arsenal

3 - 0

Southampton

ENG PR

26/01/2021 20:15

Southampton

1 - 3

Arsenal

ENG PR

23/01/2021 12:15

Southampton

1 - 0

Arsenal

ENG FAC

Arsenal

33%

Draw

33%

Southampton

33%

Arsenal Last 6 matches

25/09/2024 18:45

Arsenal 5 - 1 Bolton Wanderers ENG LC

22/09/2024 15:30

Manchester City 2 - 2 Arsenal ENG PR

19/09/2024 19:00

Atalanta 0 - 0 Arsenal UEFA CL

15/09/2024 13:00

Tottenham Hotspur 0 - 1 Arsenal ENG PR

31/08/2024 11:30

Arsenal 1 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

24/08/2024 16:30

Aston Villa 0 - 2 Arsenal ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Southampton

21/09/2024 14:00

Southampton 1 - 1 Ipswich Town ENG PR

17/09/2024 18:45

Everton 1 - 1 Southampton ENG LC

14/09/2024 11:30

Southampton 0 - 3 Manchester United ENG PR

31/08/2024 14:00

Brentford 3 - 1 Southampton ENG PR

28/08/2024 18:45

Cardiff City 3 - 5 Southampton ENG LC

24/08/2024 14:00

Southampton 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Arsenal

Southampton

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

0.26

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

10 (53%)9 (47%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

5 (26%)14 (74%)

Arsenal

Recent matches

Southampton

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

/Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Arsenal

Southampton

Shots

Arsenal

Total shots

16.16 avg / game

Blocked

71 total

Avg. 5.07

Southampton

Total shots

8.58 avg / game

Blocked

49 total

Avg. 2.58

Arsenal Pass Southampton

Total passes

9443

Avg. 497 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

8190

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Arsenal

Played games

Southampton

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.11

7.42

141

Corners

3.16

15.42

293

Throw-ins

246

12.95

2.32

Offsides

1.32

1.68

GK saves

4.74

Arsenal

DISCIPLINARY

Southampton

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.68

1.95

0.11

0.16

9.63

183

Fouls

213

11.21

14.26

271

Tackles

305

16.05

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Arsenal vs Southampton Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arsenal vs Southampton on 05 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arsenal vs Southampton Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arsenal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Southampton's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Arsenal and Southampton sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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