Arsenal vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 November

Arsenal

W W W W W

2nd place in English Premier League

3-1

11/11/2023 11:00

Burnley

D W D L L

19th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arsenal vs Burnley on 11 November 2023 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arsenal vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Arsenal are currently 2nd with 89 points after 38 matches.
Burnley sit 19th with 24 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 82%.
Head-to-head history favors Arsenal, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2023-11-11

Arsenal vs Burnley - Prediction & Odds

Arsenal

Burnley

2023-11-11 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/11/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

23/01/2022 10:00

Arsenal

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

18/09/2021 10:00

Burnley

0 - 1

Arsenal

ENG PR

06/03/2021 08:30

Burnley

1 - 1

Arsenal

ENG PR

13/12/2020 15:15

Arsenal

0 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

02/02/2020 10:00

Burnley

0 - 0

Arsenal

ENG PR

17/08/2019 07:30

Arsenal

2 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

Arsenal

33%

Draw

50%

Burnley

17%

Arsenal Last 6 matches

01/11/2023 15:30

West Ham United 3 - 1 Arsenal ENG LC

28/10/2023 10:00

Arsenal 5 - 0 Sheffield United ENG PR

24/10/2023 15:00

Sevilla 1 - 2 Arsenal UEFA CL

21/10/2023 12:30

Chelsea 2 - 2 Arsenal ENG PR

08/10/2023 11:30

Arsenal 1 - 0 Manchester City ENG PR

03/10/2023 15:00

Lens 2 - 1 Arsenal UEFA CL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Burnley

01/11/2023 15:45

Everton 3 - 0 Burnley ENG LC

28/10/2023 10:00

AFC Bournemouth 2 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

21/10/2023 10:00

Brentford 3 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

07/10/2023 10:00

Burnley 1 - 4 Chelsea ENG PR

03/10/2023 14:30

Luton Town 1 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

30/09/2023 10:00

Newcastle United 2 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

289

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

115

Avg. per game

0.38

Scored

167

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

185

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

182 (61%)118 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

117 (40%)179 (60%)

Arsenal

Recent matches

Burnley

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Arsenal

Burnley

Shots

Arsenal

Total shots

14.73 avg / game

Blocked

1177 total

Avg. 4.56

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Arsenal Pass Burnley

Total passes

141540

Avg. 497 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Arsenal

300

Played games

Burnley

296

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

122

Clean sheets

0.31

6.03

1809

Corners

1393

4.71

15.30

4590

Throw-ins

5108

17.26

1.73

519

Offsides

524

1.77

2.09

626

GK saves

820

2.77

Arsenal

DISCIPLINARY

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.53

460

472

1.59

0.05

0.06

9.92

2976

Fouls

2875

9.71

12.30

3689

Tackles

3720

12.57

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arsenal vs Burnley on 11 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arsenal vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arsenal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Arsenal and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More English Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming English Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less