Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 May

Arsenal

W D W L D

1st place in Group A

1-0

05/05/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid

W D W L D

14th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid on 05 May 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Arsenal will face Atletico Madrid in UEFA Champions League on May 5, 2026 at 15:00.
Arsenal are currently 1st with 24 points after 8 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 14th with 13 points from 8 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.55.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-05-05

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Arsenal

Atletico Madrid

2026-05-05 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/05/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

29/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Arsenal

UEFA CL

21/10/2025 15:00

Arsenal

4 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

26/07/2018 07:35

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Arsenal

ICC

03/05/2018 15:05

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Arsenal

UEFA EL

26/04/2018 15:05

Arsenal

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

UEFA EL

01/08/2009 11:15

Arsenal

2 - 1

Atletico Madrid

Emirates S

Atletico Madrid

50%

Draw

50%

Arsenal

Arsenal Last 6 matches

02/05/2026 12:30

Arsenal 3 - 0 Fulham

ENG PR

29/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal

UEFA CL

25/04/2026 12:30

Arsenal 1 - 0 Newcastle United

ENG PR

19/04/2026 11:30

Manchester City 2 - 1 Arsenal

ENG PR

15/04/2026 15:00

Arsenal 0 - 0 Sporting CP

UEFA CL

11/04/2026 07:30

Arsenal 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

02/05/2026 10:15

Valencia 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

29/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal

UEFA CL

25/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

22/04/2026 13:00

Elche 3 - 2 Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

18/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Real Sociedad

SPA CUP

14/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona

UEFA CL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Arsenal

Atletico Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.14

Scored

Avg. per game

1.25

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 7 home matches

YesNo

4 (57%)3 (43%)

In last 7 home matches

NoYes

6 (75%)2 (25%)

Arsenal

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(71%)5 2(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)8 0(0%)

Under /Over

(29%)2 5(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

Under /Over

(29%)2 5(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

/Yes

(29%)2 5(71%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(100%)8 0(0%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Arsenal

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Arsenal

Total shots

17.29 avg / game

Blocked

27 total

Avg. 3.86

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

16.50 avg / game

Blocked

30 total

Avg. 3.75

Arsenal Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

2788

Avg. 398 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

3742

Avg. 468 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Arsenal

Played games

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.71

Clean sheets

0.00

6.57

Corners

5.88

16.29

114

Throw-ins

114

14.25

1.43

Offsides

1.25

1.43

GK saves

3.00

Arsenal

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.00

0.75

0.00

0.00

11.29

Fouls

10.50

7.14

Tackles

9.13

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid on 05 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arsenal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Arsenal and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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