Arbil vs Baghdad: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 February

Arbil
WLDLW
14th place in Iraqi Premier League
1
4-1
FT
29/02/2024 14:00
Baghdad
LDLWW
19th place in Iraqi Premier League
Iraqi Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arbil vs Baghdad on 29 February 2024 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arbil vs Baghdad preview before placing your bet.

  • Arbil are currently 14th with 41 points after 38 matches.
  • Baghdad sit 19th with 31 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Arbil to win with probability 45%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Arbil and Baghdad have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:00

2024-02-29

Arbil vs Baghdad - Prediction & Odds

Arbil
Arbil
Baghdad
Baghdad
2024-02-29 14:00
45
28
27
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.25
2.00
FT
4-1 2-1
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 29/02/2024
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al Shorta Al Shorta
87 38 26 9 3 76 36 40
02 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
82 38 24 10 4 68 32 36
03 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa
75 38 21 12 5 54 23 31
04 AL Najaf AL Najaf
67 38 19 10 9 45 28 17
05 Zakho Zakho
67 38 17 16 5 37 20 17
06 Duhok Duhok
58 38 14 16 8 41 33 8
07 Newroz SC(IRQ) Newroz SC(IRQ)
56 38 15 11 12 61 49 12
08 Al Talaba Al Talaba
53 38 13 14 11 40 38 2
09 Al-Hudod Al-Hudod
50 38 13 11 14 38 47 -9
10 Naft Misan Naft Misan
47 38 10 17 11 41 40 1
11 Al-Naft Al-Naft
46 38 10 16 12 37 44 -7
12 AL Minaa AL Minaa
42 38 10 12 16 38 59 -21
13 AI Kahrabaa AI Kahrabaa
41 38 8 17 13 47 51 -4
14 Arbil Arbil
41 38 9 14 15 46 50 -4
15 Al Karkh Al Karkh
39 38 7 18 13 36 45 -9
16 Karbalaa Karbalaa
37 38 8 13 17 39 60 -21
17 Al Qasim Sport Club Al Qasim Sport Club
36 38 7 15 16 39 53 -14
18 Naft Al Junoob Naft Al Junoob
35 38 8 11 19 29 43 -14
19 Baghdad Baghdad
31 38 6 13 19 33 53 -20
20 Naft Alwasat Naft Alwasat
16 38 1 13 24 24 65 -41
Head To Head
15/02/2022 10:30
Baghdad Baghdad
1 - 1
Arbil Arbil
IRQ D1
26/09/2021 15:00
Arbil Arbil
1 - 2
Baghdad Baghdad
IRQ D1
24/02/2021 10:00
Arbil Arbil
2 - 2
Baghdad Baghdad
IRQ D1
26/10/2020 12:00
Baghdad Baghdad
0 - 2
Arbil Arbil
IRQ D1
17/06/2019 14:00
Baghdad Baghdad
2 - 0
Arbil Arbil
IRQ D1
18/12/2018 11:00
Arbil Arbil
2 - 0
Baghdad Baghdad
IRQ D1
Arbil
2
33%
Draw
2
33%
Baghdad
2
33%
Arbil Arbil Last 6 matches
22/02/2024 13:30
AL Najaf 1 - 1 Arbil IRQ D1
19/02/2024 13:30
Karbalaa 3 - 5 Arbil IRQ D1
12/02/2024 13:30
Arbil 1 - 1 Newroz SC(IRQ) IRQ D1
31/12/2023 11:30
Naft Misan 1 - 1 Arbil IRQ D1
23/12/2023 14:00
Arbil 0 - 1 Al Zawraa IRQ D1
19/12/2023 11:30
Naft Al Junoob 1 - 1 Arbil IRQ D1
Win
17%
Draw
67%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Baghdad Baghdad
22/02/2024 11:00
Baghdad 0 - 2 Al Talaba IRQ D1
16/02/2024 11:00
Zakho 1 - 0 Baghdad IRQ D1
11/02/2024 11:00
Baghdad 1 - 1 Naft Alwasat IRQ D1
04/02/2024 11:00
Baghdad 1 - 1 Al Karma IRQ C
29/12/2023 12:30
Duhok 2 - 0 Baghdad IRQ D1
23/12/2023 11:30
Baghdad 3 - 1 Karbalaa IRQ D1
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Iraqi Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Arbil
Arbil
19
 Baghdad
Baghdad
19
Goals
Scored
8
Avg. per game
0.42
Conceded
6
Avg. per game
0.32
Scored
5
Avg. per game
0.26
Conceded
13
Avg. per game
0.68
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 19 home matches
YesNo
7 (37%)12 (63%)
In last 19 home matches
NoYes
4 (21%)15 (79%)
Arbil

Arbil

Recent matches

Baghdad

Baghdad

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

/Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)12 7(37%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Arbil Arbil
Baghdad Baghdad
Shots
Arbil
Arbil
Total shots
9.10 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Baghdad
Baghdad
Total shots
6.94 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Arbil Arbil Pass Baghdad Baghdad
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
53%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
48%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Arbil
Arbil
1016
Avg. 53.47 / game
 Baghdad
Baghdad
1554
Avg. 81.79 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Arbil
Arbil
768
Avg. 40.42 / game
 Baghdad
Baghdad
1114
Avg. 58.63 / game
OTHERS
Arbil
Arbil
19
Played games
Baghdad
Baghdad
19
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.37
7
Clean sheets
2
0.11
2.05
39
Corners
59
3.11
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Arbil
Arbil
DISCIPLINARY
Baghdad
Baghdad
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.89
17
Yellow card
38
2.00
0.05
1
Red card
4
0.21
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Arbil vs Baghdad Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arbil vs Baghdad on 29 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Iraqi Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arbil vs Baghdad Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arbil's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Baghdad's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Iraqi Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Iraqi Premier League standings and the Iraqi Premier League form table to understand exactly where Arbil and Baghdad sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Iraqi Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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