Araz Nakhchivan vs Qarabag Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 21

Araz Nakhchivan

L D L L W

6th place in Azerbaijan Premier League

0-5

21/09/2025 09:00

Qarabag

W L W D W

2nd place in Azerbaijan Premier League

Azerbaijan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Araz Nakhchivan vs Qarabag on September 21, 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Araz Nakhchivan vs Qarabag preview before placing for you.

Araz Nakhchivan are currently 6th with 46 points after 33 matches.
Qarabag sit 2nd with 69 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Qarabag to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Qarabag, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Araz Nakhchivan have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2025-09-21

Araz Nakhchivan vs Qarabag - Prediction & Odds

Araz Nakhchivan

Qarabag

2025-09-21 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sabah FK Baku	78	33	24	6	3	75	25	50
02 Qarabag	69	33	21	6	6	71	27	44
03 FC Neftci Baku	59	33	16	11	6	57	32	25
04 Turan Tovuz	59	33	17	8	8	44	27	17
05 Zira FK	53	33	13	14	6	43	36	7
06 Araz Nakhchivan	46	33	13	7	13	44	58	-14
07 Standard Sumgayit	38	33	11	5	17	42	50	-8
08 Samaxı FC	38	33	9	11	13	31	40	-9
09 Mil Mugan	37	33	8	13	12	24	40	-16
10 Qabala	27	33	7	6	20	32	49	-17
11 FK Kapaz Ganca	27	33	8	3	22	25	61	-36
12 Karvan Evlakh	15	33	3	6	24	23	66	-43

Head To Head

11/05/2025 12:00

Qarabag

2 - 0

Araz Nakhchivan

AZE D1

23/04/2025 09:00

Qarabag

3 - 0

Araz Nakhchivan

AZE CUP

02/04/2025 09:00

Araz Nakhchivan

1 - 0

Qarabag

AZE CUP

08/03/2025 11:00

Araz Nakhchivan

1 - 3

Qarabag

AZE D1

22/12/2024 08:30

Qarabag

2 - 0

Araz Nakhchivan

AZE D1

02/08/2024 11:59

Araz Nakhchivan

1 - 4

Qarabag

AZE D1

Araz Nakhchivan

17%

Draw

Qarabag

83%

Araz Nakhchivan Last 6 matches

12/09/2025 09:45

FK Kapaz Ganca 0 - 2 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

30/08/2025 12:30

Araz Nakhchivan 2 - 1 Qabala AZE D1

24/08/2025 11:30

Turan Tovuz 1 - 2 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

19/08/2025 12:00

Zira FK 1 - 1 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

14/08/2025 13:00

Omonia Nicosia FC 5 - 0 Araz Nakhchivan UEFA ECL

07/08/2025 12:00

Araz Nakhchivan 0 - 4 Omonia Nicosia FC UEFA ECL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Qarabag

12/09/2025 12:00

Qarabag 1 - 1 Zira FK AZE D1

31/08/2025 09:00

Karvan Evlakh 0 - 2 Qarabag AZE D1

27/08/2025 12:45

Qarabag 2 - 3 Ferencvarosi TC UEFA CL

22/08/2025 11:30

Qarabag 0 - 1 Standard Sumgayit AZE D1

19/08/2025 15:00

Ferencvarosi TC 1 - 3 Qarabag UEFA CL

12/08/2025 12:00

Qarabag 5 - 1 FK Shkendija 79 UEFA CL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

116

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

106

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

178

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 152 matches

YesNo

84 (55%)68 (45%)

In last 152 matches

NoYes

203 (68%)97 (32%)

Araz Nakhchivan

Recent matches

Qarabag

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Araz Nakhchivan

Qarabag

Shots

Araz Nakhchivan

Total shots

9.26 avg / game

Blocked

6 total

Avg. 1.50

Qarabag

Total shots

13.37 avg / game

Blocked

180 total

Avg. 3.40

Araz Nakhchivan Pass Qarabag

Total passes

Avg. 0 / game

Accurate

100%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

22382

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Araz Nakhchivan

152

Played games

Qarabag

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

122

0.41

3.13

476

Corners

1859

6.20

0.00

Throw-ins

864

2.88

0.07

Offsides

185

0.62

0.11

GK saves

243

0.81

Araz Nakhchivan

DISCIPLINARY

Qarabag

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.72

262

483

1.61

0.07

0.05

0.39

Fouls

957

3.19

0.00

Tackles

777

2.59

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Araz Nakhchivan vs Qarabag Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Araz Nakhchivan vs Qarabag on 21 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Araz Nakhchivan vs Qarabag Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Araz Nakhchivan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Qarabag's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Araz Nakhchivan and Qarabag sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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