Alverca vs Varzim: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 April

Alverca

D W W W D

No standing data

1-0

28/04/2024 11:59

Varzim

D L W L D

No standing data

Portugal Liga 3

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alverca vs Varzim on 28 April 2024 (kick-off: 11:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alverca vs Varzim preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Alverca to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Alverca, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Varzim have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:59

2024-04-28

Alverca vs Varzim - Prediction & Odds

Alverca

Varzim

2024-04-28 11:59

STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Alverca and Varzim in the Portugal Liga 3 football standings for the 2023-2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

02/03/2024 13:00

Varzim

0 - 1

Alverca

POR L3

08/05/2005 11:00

Alverca

1 - 0

Varzim

POR D2

19/12/2004 11:00

Varzim

3 - 0

Alverca

POR D2

Alverca

67%

Draw

Varzim

33%

Alverca Last 6 matches

20/04/2024 11:59

Alverca 1 - 1 FC Felgueiras POR L3

13/04/2024 10:00

Atletico Clube Purtugal 0 - 4 Alverca POR L3

06/04/2024 10:00

Alverca 1 - 0 Sporting Braga II POR L3

31/03/2024 13:00

Alverca 3 - 1 Lusitania FC POR L3

16/03/2024 11:00

Academica Coimbra 0 - 0 Alverca POR L3

09/03/2024 15:00

Alverca 1 - 0 SC Covilha POR L3

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Varzim

20/04/2024 14:00

Varzim 1 - 1 Atletico Clube Purtugal POR L3

13/04/2024 06:00

Sporting Braga II 2 - 1 Varzim POR L3

07/04/2024 11:59

Varzim 4 - 3 Lusitania FC POR L3

30/03/2024 11:00

Varzim 0 - 2 Academica Coimbra POR L3

17/03/2024 07:00

SC Covilha 2 - 2 Varzim POR L3

09/03/2024 17:00

FC Felgueiras 1 - 0 Varzim POR L3

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Liga 3

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

195

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

128

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

133

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

142

Avg. per game

0.62

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 218 matches

YesNo

128 (59%)90 (41%)

In last 218 matches

NoYes

107 (47%)121 (53%)

Alverca

Recent matches

Varzim

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alverca

Varzim

Shots

Alverca

Total shots

10.40 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.45

Varzim

Total shots

10.05 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Alverca Pass Varzim

Total passes

12387

Avg. 364 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alverca

218

Played games

Varzim

228

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.31

4.55

992

Corners

1151

5.05

3.11

677

Throw-ins

0.11

0.51

112

Offsides

0.16

1.06

230

GK saves

0.29

Alverca

DISCIPLINARY

Varzim

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.24

488

559

2.45

0.12

0.14

3.98

867

Fouls

652

2.86

1.65

359

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Alverca vs Varzim Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alverca vs Varzim on 28 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Liga 3 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alverca vs Varzim Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alverca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Varzim's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Liga 3 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Liga 3 standings and the Portugal Liga 3 form table to understand exactly where Alverca and Varzim sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Liga 3 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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