Alverca vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 October

Alverca

D W W W W

2nd place in Portugal Segunda Liga

2-2

12/10/2024 09:00

Penafiel

L L L L D

11th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alverca vs Penafiel on 12 October 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alverca vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

Alverca are currently 2nd with 63 points after 34 matches.
Penafiel sit 11th with 45 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Alverca to win with probability 37%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2024-10-12

Alverca vs Penafiel - Prediction & Odds

Alverca

Penafiel

2024-10-12 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 12/10/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CD Tondela	64	34	17	13	4	58	35	23
02 Alverca	63	34	17	12	5	58	34	24
03 Vizela	62	34	17	11	6	50	30	20
04 SL Benfica B	55	34	15	10	9	53	38	15
05 SCU Torreense	54	34	15	9	10	49	42	7
06 Uniao Leiria	52	34	15	7	12	49	37	12
07 GD Chaves	51	34	14	9	11	40	34	6
08 Feirense	49	34	13	10	11	35	34	1
09 FC Felgueiras	46	34	11	13	10	43	38	5
10 Viseu	45	34	11	12	11	43	41	2
11 Penafiel	45	34	12	9	13	45	47	-2
12 Maritimo	43	34	10	13	11	42	48	-6
13 Leixoes	41	34	10	11	13	37	42	-5
14 Porto B	35	34	8	11	15	36	47	-11
15 Portimonense	34	34	9	7	18	38	54	-16
16 Pacos de Ferreira	33	34	9	6	19	34	50	-16
17 Oliveirense	29	34	7	8	19	30	64	-34
18 CD Mafra	27	34	6	9	19	29	54	-25

Alverca Last 6 matches

06/10/2024 10:30

CD Mafra 1 - 1 Alverca POR D2

29/09/2024 09:00

Alverca 1 - 1 Leixoes POR D2

22/09/2024 10:00

Coimbroes 2 - 3 Alverca POR CN

15/09/2024 06:00

Maritimo 1 - 2 Alverca POR D2

30/08/2024 13:00

Alverca 0 - 4 Viseu POR D2

23/08/2024 13:00

Uniao Leiria 1 - 1 Alverca POR D2

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Penafiel

06/10/2024 09:00

Penafiel 1 - 0 Uniao Leiria POR D2

28/09/2024 13:00

Portimonense 0 - 2 Penafiel POR D2

21/09/2024 12:00

Tocha 1 - 4 Penafiel POR CN

15/09/2024 07:45

Penafiel 1 - 1 Porto B POR D2

01/09/2024 10:30

Pacos de Ferreira 1 - 3 Penafiel POR D2

25/08/2024 09:00

Penafiel 2 - 2 CD Tondela POR D2

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

195

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

128

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

155

Avg. per game

0.64

Conceded

186

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 218 matches

YesNo

128 (59%)90 (41%)

In last 218 matches

NoYes

115 (48%)127 (52%)

Alverca

Recent matches

Penafiel

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alverca

Penafiel

Shots

Alverca

Total shots

10.40 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.45

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Alverca Pass Penafiel

Total passes

12387

Avg. 364 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alverca

218

Played games

Penafiel

242

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.31

4.55

992

Corners

1129

4.67

3.11

677

Throw-ins

682

2.82

0.51

112

Offsides

137

0.57

1.06

230

GK saves

403

1.67

Alverca

DISCIPLINARY

Penafiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.24

488

597

2.47

0.12

0.11

3.98

867

Fouls

2487

10.28

1.65

359

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Alverca vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alverca vs Penafiel on 12 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alverca vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alverca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Alverca and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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