Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 17

Alverca

W L W L D

11th place in Portugal Primera Liga

2-1

17/01/2026 14:00

Moreirense

D W L W L

7th place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alverca vs Moreirense on January 17, 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alverca vs Moreirense preview before placing for you.

Alverca are currently 11th with 39 points after 34 matches.
Moreirense sit 7th with 43 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 29%.
Head-to-head history favors Moreirense, who have won 3 of the last 3 meetings. Alverca have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-01-17

Alverca vs Moreirense - Prediction & Odds

Alverca

Moreirense

2026-01-17 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

10/08/2025 15:30

Moreirense

2 - 1

Alverca

POR D1

09/05/2004 11:00

Moreirense

3 - 1

Alverca

POR D1

11/01/2004 11:59

Alverca

1 - 2

Moreirense

POR D1

Alverca

Draw

Moreirense

100%

Alverca Last 6 matches

04/01/2026 16:30

Alverca 1 - 0 FC Famalicao POR D1

27/12/2025 16:30

Estoril 4 - 1 Alverca POR D1

22/12/2025 14:45

Alverca 0 - 3 FC Porto POR D1

14/12/2025 16:30

FC Arouca 1 - 0 Alverca POR D1

07/12/2025 14:00

Alverca 1 - 0 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

29/11/2025 11:30

Casa Pia AC 0 - 2 Alverca POR D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Moreirense

03/01/2026 16:30

AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 2 Moreirense POR D1

20/12/2025 16:30

Estrela da Amadora 0 - 0 Moreirense POR D1

14/12/2025 14:00

Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica POR D1

07/12/2025 11:30

Estoril 3 - 3 Moreirense POR D1

29/11/2025 11:30

Moreirense 2 - 2 FC Famalicao POR D1

09/11/2025 16:30

Sporting Braga 2 - 1 Moreirense POR D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Alverca

Moreirense

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

10 (59%)7 (41%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

9 (56%)7 (44%)

Alverca

Recent matches

Moreirense

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)11 5(31%)

Under /Over

(18%)3 14(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)4 12(75%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)7 9(56%)

/Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)8 8(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alverca

Moreirense

Shots

Alverca

Total shots

10.71 avg / game

Blocked

41 total

Avg. 2.73

Moreirense

Total shots

9.25 avg / game

Blocked

39 total

Avg. 3.00

Alverca Pass Moreirense

Total passes

6342

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

6824

Avg. 427 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alverca

Played games

Moreirense

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.25

4.65

Corners

3.94

20.41

347

Throw-ins

312

19.50

1.18

Offsides

0.81

2.59

GK saves

3.06

Alverca

DISCIPLINARY

Moreirense

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

2.44

0.06

0.13

13.00

221

Fouls

223

13.94

10.47

178

Tackles

146

9.13

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alverca vs Moreirense on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alverca vs Moreirense Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alverca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Moreirense's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Alverca and Moreirense sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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