Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 03

Alaves

W D L W W

15th place in Spanish La Liga

0-0

03/05/2025 12:00

Atletico Madrid

W D W L W

3rd place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid on May 03, 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alaves vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing for you.

Alaves are currently 15th with 42 points after 38 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 3rd with 76 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Alaves have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-05-03

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Alaves

Atletico Madrid

2025-05-03 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

23/11/2024 15:15

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Alaves

SPA D1

21/04/2024 16:30

Alaves

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

29/10/2023 20:00

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Alaves

SPA D1

02/04/2022 19:00

Atletico Madrid

4 - 1

Alaves

SPA D1

25/09/2021 12:00

Alaves

1 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

21/03/2021 17:30

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Alaves

SPA D1

Alaves

33%

Draw

Atletico Madrid

67%

Alaves Last 6 matches

23/04/2025 19:30

Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad SPA D1

20/04/2025 16:30

Sevilla 1 - 1 Alaves SPA D1

13/04/2025 14:15

Alaves 0 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

05/04/2025 12:00

Girona 0 - 1 Alaves SPA D1

29/03/2025 17:30

Alaves 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

14/03/2025 20:00

Las Palmas 2 - 2 Alaves SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

24/04/2025 19:30

Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

19/04/2025 19:00

Las Palmas 1 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

14/04/2025 19:00

Atletico Madrid 4 - 2 Real Valladolid SPA D1

06/04/2025 14:15

Sevilla 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

02/04/2025 19:30

Atletico Madrid 0 - 1 FC Barcelona SPA CUP

29/03/2025 15:15

RCD Espanyol 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

190

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 294 matches

YesNo

143 (49%)151 (51%)

In last 294 matches

NoYes

193 (64%)107 (36%)

Alaves

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alaves

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Alaves

Total shots

10.93 avg / game

Blocked

549 total

Avg. 2.76

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Alaves Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

84253

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alaves

294

Played games

Atletico Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.33

4.57

1344

Corners

1529

5.10

16.51

4853

Throw-ins

4975

16.58

1.69

498

Offsides

650

2.17

2.13

626

GK saves

762

2.54

Alaves

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.22

653

643

2.14

0.11

0.13

12.38

3641

Fouls

3334

11.11

11.13

3273

Tackles

4090

13.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alaves vs Atletico Madrid on 03 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alaves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Alaves and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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