Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 02

Alaves

W L D W W

14th place in Spanish La Liga

2-4

02/05/2026 12:30

Athletic Bilbao

L W L L D

12th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao on May 02, 2026 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao preview before placing for you.

Alaves are currently 14th with 43 points after 38 matches.
Athletic Bilbao sit 12th with 45 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history favors Athletic Bilbao, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Alaves have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2026-05-02

Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao - Prediction & Odds

Alaves

Athletic Bilbao

2026-05-02 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 02/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	94	38	31	1	6	95	36	59
02 Real Madrid	86	38	27	5	6	77	35	42
03 Villarreal	72	38	22	6	10	72	46	26
04 Atletico Madrid	69	38	21	6	11	62	44	18
05 Real Betis	60	38	15	15	8	59	48	11
06 Celta Vigo	54	38	14	12	12	53	48	5
07 Getafe	51	38	15	6	17	32	38	-6
08 Rayo Vallecano	50	38	12	14	12	41	44	-3
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	46	55	-9
10 Real Sociedad	46	38	11	13	14	59	61	-2
11 RCD Espanyol	46	38	12	10	16	43	55	-12
12 Athletic Bilbao	45	38	13	6	19	43	58	-15
13 Sevilla	43	38	12	7	19	46	60	-14
14 Alaves	43	38	11	10	17	44	56	-12
15 Elche	43	38	10	13	15	49	57	-8
16 Levante	42	38	11	9	18	47	61	-14
17 Osasuna	42	38	11	9	18	44	50	-6
18 Mallorca	42	38	11	9	18	47	57	-10
19 Girona	41	38	9	14	15	39	55	-16
20 Real Oviedo	29	38	6	11	21	26	60	-34

Head To Head

13/09/2025 12:30

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 1

Alaves

SPA D1

22/07/2025 13:00

Alaves

1 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

INT CF

11/05/2025 12:30

Athletic Bilbao

1 - 0

Alaves

SPA D1

15/12/2024 11:15

Alaves

1 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

16/03/2024 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 0

Alaves

SPA D1

16/01/2024 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 0

Alaves

SPA CUP

Alaves

33%

Draw

17%

Athletic Bilbao

50%

Alaves Last 6 matches

25/04/2026 08:00

Alaves 2 - 1 Mallorca SPA D1

21/04/2026 15:30

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves SPA D1

11/04/2026 08:00

Real Sociedad 3 - 3 Alaves SPA D1

05/04/2026 15:00

Alaves 2 - 2 Osasuna SPA D1

22/03/2026 11:15

Celta Vigo 3 - 4 Alaves SPA D1

13/03/2026 16:00

Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Athletic Bilbao

25/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

21/04/2026 13:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Osasuna SPA D1

12/04/2026 15:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 Villarreal SPA D1

05/04/2026 08:00

Getafe 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

22/03/2026 13:30

Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Real Betis SPA D1

14/03/2026 09:00

Girona 3 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Alaves

Athletic Bilbao

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

9 (47%)10 (53%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

10 (53%)9 (47%)

Alaves

Recent matches

Athletic Bilbao

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

/Yes

(74%)14 5(26%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Alaves

Athletic Bilbao

Shots

Alaves

Total shots

13.11 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 3.78

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

15.11 avg / game

Blocked

85 total

Avg. 4.47

Alaves Pass Athletic Bilbao

Total passes

7439

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

8047

Avg. 424 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Alaves

Played games

Athletic Bilbao

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.16

Clean sheets

0.21

5.79

110

Corners

120

6.32

21.11

401

Throw-ins

399

21.00

1.79

Offsides

1.58

2.47

GK saves

2.42

Alaves

DISCIPLINARY

Athletic Bilbao

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.11

2.16

0.11

0.05

14.05

267

Fouls

254

13.37

9.68

184

Tackles

164

8.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao on 02 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Alaves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Athletic Bilbao's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Alaves and Athletic Bilbao sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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