Al-Nejmeh vs Al-Ahed Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – July 28

Al-Nejmeh

W L W W W

2nd place in League

2-1

28/07/2026 14:30

Al-Ahed

D L W L W

3rd place in League

Lebanese Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Al-Nejmeh vs Al-Ahed on July 28, 2026 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Al-Nejmeh vs Al-Ahed preview before placing for you.

Al-Nejmeh are currently 2nd with 46 points after 21 matches.
Al-Ahed sit 3rd with 40 points from 21 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Al-Nejmeh to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history favors Al-Nejmeh, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Al-Ahed have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2026-07-28

Al-Nejmeh vs Al-Ahed - Prediction & Odds

Al-Nejmeh

Al-Ahed

2026-07-28 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/07/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al-Ansar (LIB)	53	21	17	2	2	53	9	44
02 Al-Nejmeh	46	21	14	4	3	42	10	32
03 Al-Ahed	40	21	13	1	7	34	22	12
04 Jwaya	38	21	11	5	5	31	14	17
05 Al-Safa	36	21	11	3	7	30	17	13
06 Al-Hikma	30	21	9	3	9	29	27	2
07 Shabab Sahel	27	21	7	6	8	22	21	1
08 Al-Mabarrah	22	21	5	7	9	12	36	-24
09 Al Abbasieh FC	20	21	5	5	11	16	30	-14
10 Tadamon Sour	17	21	3	8	10	12	26	-14
11 Al Bourj	10	11	3	1	7	8	20	-12
12 Racing Beirut	1	21	0	1	20	4	61	-57

Relegation Quarterfinals	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al Abbasieh FC	10	4	3	1	0	8	2	6
02 Tadamon Sour	7	4	2	1	1	5	3	2
03 Racing Beirut	0	4	0	0	4	2	10	-8

Qualifying A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al-Ansar (LIB)	3	2	1	0	1	5	3	2
02 Al-Ahed	3	2	1	0	1	3	3	0
03 Al-Safa	3	2	1	0	1	3	5	-2

Qualifying B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al-Nejmeh	4	2	1	1	0	3	2	1
02 Jwaya	4	2	1	1	0	2	1	1
03 Al-Hikma	0	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al-Ansar (LIB)	12	6	3	3	0	11	7	4
02 Al-Nejmeh	11	6	3	2	1	8	5	3
03 Jwaya	5	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2
04 Al-Ahed	3	6	0	3	3	7	12	-5

Head To Head

16/07/2026 10:30

Al-Ahed

0 - 2

Al-Nejmeh

LBN D1

12/06/2026 14:30

Al-Nejmeh

1 - 0

Al-Ahed

LBN D1

01/11/2025 10:15

Al-Ahed

0 - 4

Al-Nejmeh

LBN D1

03/07/2025 09:30

Al-Nejmeh

4 - 1

Al-Ahed

LBN D1

18/05/2025 09:45

Al-Nejmeh

1 - 1

Al-Ahed

LBN D1

19/04/2025 09:00

Al-Ahed

1 - 0

Al-Nejmeh

LBN D1

Al-Nejmeh

67%

Draw

17%

Al-Ahed

17%

Al-Nejmeh Last 6 matches

24/07/2026 14:30

Al-Nejmeh 2 - 1 Jwaya LBN D1

20/07/2026 14:30

Al-Ansar (LIB) 1 - 1 Al-Nejmeh LBN D1

16/07/2026 10:30

Al-Ahed 0 - 2 Al-Nejmeh LBN D1

12/07/2026 14:00

Jwaya 0 - 0 Al-Nejmeh LBN D1

08/07/2026 14:30

Al-Hikma 0 - 2 Al-Nejmeh LBN FA Cup

03/07/2026 14:30

Al-Hikma 0 - 1 Al-Nejmeh LBN D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Al-Ahed

24/07/2026 14:30

Al-Ahed 1 - 1 Al-Ansar (LIB) LBN D1

20/07/2026 10:30

Jwaya 2 - 0 Al-Ahed LBN D1

16/07/2026 10:30

Al-Ahed 0 - 2 Al-Nejmeh LBN D1

12/07/2026 10:30

Al-Ansar (LIB) 3 - 3 Al-Ahed LBN D1

28/06/2026 09:00

Al-Ahed 4 - 2 Shabab Sahel LBN D1

24/06/2026 09:00

Al-Ahed 4 - 1 Al-Safa LBN D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Lebanese Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

165

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored

191

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 187 matches

YesNo

111 (59%)76 (41%)

In last 187 matches

NoYes

116 (63%)69 (37%)

Al-Nejmeh

Recent matches

Al-Ahed

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Al-Nejmeh

Al-Ahed

Shots

Al-Nejmeh

Total shots

9.96 avg / game

Blocked

26 total

Avg. 2.60

Al-Ahed

Total shots

9.34 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.42

Al-Nejmeh Pass Al-Ahed

Total passes

2262

Avg. 377 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

3410

Avg. 379 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Al-Nejmeh

187

Played games

Al-Ahed

185

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

Clean sheets

0.43

3.89

727

Corners

755

4.08

0.80

149

Throw-ins

0.47

0.16

Offsides

0.31

0.11

GK saves

0.11

Al-Nejmeh

DISCIPLINARY

Al-Ahed

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.75

141

231

1.25

0.03

0.05

1.30

244

Fouls

272

1.47

0.42

Tackles

169

0.91

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Al-Nejmeh vs Al-Ahed Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Al-Nejmeh vs Al-Ahed on 28 July 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Lebanese Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Al-Nejmeh vs Al-Ahed Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Al-Nejmeh's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Al-Ahed's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Lebanese Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Lebanese Premier League standings and the Lebanese Premier League form table to understand exactly where Al-Nejmeh and Al-Ahed sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Lebanese Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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