AL Najaf vs Arbil: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Prediction Match Centre
AL Najaf
LDLLW
19th place in Iraqi Premier League
2
1-4
Arbil
Win Probability 46%
11/05/2026 10:30
Arbil
DWLWW
3rd place in Iraqi Premier League
Iraqi Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AL Najaf vs Arbil on 11 May 2026 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AL Najaf vs Arbil preview before placing your bet.

  • AL Najaf will face Arbil in Iraqi Premier League on May 11, 2026 at 10:30.
  • AL Najaf are currently 19th with 23 points after 37 matches.
  • Arbil sit 3rd with 80 points from 38 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.95.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:30

2026-05-11

AL Najaf vs Arbil - Prediction & Odds

AL Najaf
AL Najaf
Arbil
Arbil
2026-05-11 10:30
24
30
46
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.00
1.95
FT
1-4 1-3
-
weather
39°C
STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
89 38 27 8 3 62 28 34
02 Al Shorta Al Shorta
80 38 24 8 6 69 32 37
03 Arbil Arbil
80 38 23 11 4 60 30 30
04 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa
66 38 17 15 6 50 32 18
05 Al Karma SC Al Karma SC
65 38 17 14 7 53 26 27
06 Al Talaba Al Talaba
65 38 18 11 9 53 38 15
07 Al Karkh Al Karkh
60 38 16 12 10 51 41 10
08 Zakho Zakho
56 38 15 11 12 51 43 8
09 Newroz SC(IRQ) Newroz SC(IRQ)
54 38 16 6 16 48 47 1
10 Duhok Duhok
50 38 13 11 14 44 45 -1
11 Dyala Dyala
49 38 13 10 15 40 42 -2
12 Al-Naft Al-Naft
48 38 11 15 12 33 34 -1
13 Mosul FC Mosul FC
47 38 11 14 13 46 49 -3
14 Al Gharraf Al Gharraf
44 38 11 11 16 40 43 -3
15 Naft Misan Naft Misan
43 38 11 10 17 48 57 -9
16 AL Minaa AL Minaa
40 38 9 13 16 38 47 -9
17 AI Kahrabaa AI Kahrabaa
38 37 11 5 21 44 56 -12
18 Baghdad Baghdad
32 38 8 8 22 43 71 -28
19 AL Najaf AL Najaf
23 37 6 5 26 31 68 -37
20 Al Qasim Sport Club Al Qasim Sport Club
6 38 0 6 32 21 96 -75
Head To Head
15/09/2025 13:30
Arbil Arbil
3 - 2
AL Najaf AL Najaf
IRQ SL
19/02/2025 07:30
AL Najaf AL Najaf
1 - 2
Arbil Arbil
IRQ SL
30/10/2024 10:15
Arbil Arbil
0 - 0
AL Najaf AL Najaf
IRQ SL
26/06/2024 12:30
Arbil Arbil
1 - 1
AL Najaf AL Najaf
IRQ SL
22/02/2024 09:30
AL Najaf AL Najaf
1 - 1
Arbil Arbil
IRQ SL
16/07/2023 14:00
Arbil Arbil
1 - 0
AL Najaf AL Najaf
IRQ SL
Arbil
2
33%
Draw
3
50%
AL Najaf
1
17%
AL Najaf AL Najaf Last 6 matches
07/05/2026 11:00
AL Najaf 1 - 1 Baghdad
IRQ SL
27/04/2026 12:30
AL Najaf 1 - 2 Duhok
IRQ SL
17/04/2026 12:30
AL Najaf 2 - 1 Newroz SC(IRQ)
IRQ SL
12/04/2026 12:30
AL Najaf 0 - 3 Al Karma SC
IRQ SL
08/04/2026 10:00
Al Talaba 2 - 1 AL Najaf
IRQ SL
04/04/2026 12:30
AL Najaf 1 - 3 Al Shorta
IRQ SL
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Arbil Arbil
06/05/2026 10:30
Arbil 2 - 2 AI Kahrabaa
IRQ SL
02/05/2026 10:00
Arbil 1 - 0 Al Karkh
IRQ SL
27/04/2026 12:30
Al Talaba 2 - 3 Arbil
IRQ SL
23/04/2026 12:30
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 1 Arbil
IRQ SL
18/04/2026 10:00
Arbil 2 - 0 Al Qasim Sport Club
IRQ SL
14/04/2026 10:00
Al-Naft 0 - 2 Arbil
IRQ SL
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Iraqi Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
AL Najaf
AL Najaf
37
 Arbil
Arbil
38
Goals
Scored
18
Avg. per game
0.49
Conceded
37
Avg. per game
1.00
Scored
37
Avg. per game
0.97
Conceded
18
Avg. per game
0.47
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 37 matches
YesNo
15 (41%)22 (59%)
In last 37 matches
NoYes
25 (66%)13 (34%)
AL Najaf

AL Najaf

Recent matches

Arbil

Arbil

Under /Over

(78%)29 8(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)27 11(29%)

Under /Over

(27%)10 27(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

Under /Over

(51%)19 18(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

/Yes

(57%)21 16(43%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
AL Najaf AL Najaf
Arbil Arbil
Shots
AL Najaf
AL Najaf
Total shots
9.00 avg / game
Blocked
3 total
Avg. 1.50
Arbil
Arbil
Total shots
10.00 avg / game
Blocked
9 total
Avg. 1.29
AL Najaf AL Najaf Pass Arbil Arbil
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
46%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
53%
TOTAL ATTACKS
AL Najaf
AL Najaf
3061
Avg. 82.73 / game
 Arbil
Arbil
3005
Avg. 79.08 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
AL Najaf
AL Najaf
1798
Avg. 48.59 / game
 Arbil
Arbil
1872
Avg. 49.26 / game
OTHERS
AL Najaf
AL Najaf
37
Played games
Arbil
Arbil
38
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.11
4
Clean sheets
15
0.39
2.86
106
Corners
134
3.53
8.27
306
Throw-ins
389
10.24
0.46
17
Offsides
32
0.84
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
AL Najaf
AL Najaf
DISCIPLINARY
Arbil
Arbil
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.43
53
Yellow card
79
2.08
0.11
4
Red card
3
0.08
5.89
218
Fouls
352
9.26
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the AL Najaf vs Arbil Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AL Najaf vs Arbil on 11 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Iraqi Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AL Najaf vs Arbil Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AL Najaf's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arbil's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Iraqi Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Iraqi Premier League standings and the Iraqi Premier League form table to understand exactly where AL Najaf and Arbil sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Iraqi Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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