Al Bourj vs Al-Ahed: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 December

Al Bourj
LLWWL
11th place in League
2
1-4
FT
25/12/2025 08:15
Al-Ahed
DLWLW
3rd place in League
Lebanese Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Al Bourj vs Al-Ahed on 25 December 2025 (kick-off: 08:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Al Bourj vs Al-Ahed preview before placing your bet.

  • Al Bourj are currently 11th with 10 points after 11 matches.
  • Al-Ahed sit 3rd with 40 points from 21 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Al-Ahed to win with probability 59%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Al-Ahed, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Al Bourj have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
08:15

2025-12-25

Al Bourj vs Al-Ahed - Prediction & Odds

Al Bourj
Al Bourj
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
2025-12-25 08:15
16
25
59
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.50
1.53
FT
1-4 0-1
-
weather
13°C
STANDINGS UP TO 25/12/2025
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Ansar (LIB) Al-Ansar (LIB)
53 21 17 2 2 53 9 44
02 Al-Nejmeh Al-Nejmeh
46 21 14 4 3 42 10 32
03 Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
40 21 13 1 7 34 22 12
04 Jwaya Jwaya
38 21 11 5 5 31 14 17
05 Al-Safa Al-Safa
36 21 11 3 7 30 17 13
06 Al-Hikma Al-Hikma
30 21 9 3 9 29 27 2
07 Shabab Sahel Shabab Sahel
27 21 7 6 8 22 21 1
08 Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
22 21 5 7 9 12 36 -24
09 Al Abbasieh FC Al Abbasieh FC
20 21 5 5 11 16 30 -14
10 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour
17 21 3 8 10 12 26 -14
11 Al Bourj Al Bourj
10 11 3 1 7 8 20 -12
12 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut
1 21 0 1 20 4 61 -57
Relegation Quarterfinals PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al Abbasieh FC Al Abbasieh FC
10 4 3 1 0 8 2 6
02 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour
7 4 2 1 1 5 3 2
03 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut
0 4 0 0 4 2 10 -8
Qualifying A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Ansar (LIB) Al-Ansar (LIB)
3 2 1 0 1 5 3 2
02 Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
3 2 1 0 1 3 3 0
03 Al-Safa Al-Safa
3 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2
Qualifying B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Nejmeh Al-Nejmeh
4 2 1 1 0 3 2 1
02 Jwaya Jwaya
4 2 1 1 0 2 1 1
03 Al-Hikma Al-Hikma
0 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2
Championship Round PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Nejmeh Al-Nejmeh
11 5 3 2 0 7 3 4
02 Al-Ansar (LIB) Al-Ansar (LIB)
9 5 2 3 0 9 6 3
03 Jwaya Jwaya
4 5 1 1 3 4 6 -2
04 Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
2 5 0 2 3 5 10 -5
Head To Head
21/09/2024 09:00
Al Bourj Al Bourj
1 - 3
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LBN D1
26/05/2024 09:00
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
2 - 3
Al Bourj Al Bourj
LBN D1
05/04/2024 08:00
Al Bourj Al Bourj
0 - 1
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LBN D1
07/02/2024 08:15
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
3 - 0
Al Bourj Al Bourj
LBN D1
03/12/2023 10:00
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
3 - 0
Al Bourj Al Bourj
LBN D1
12/02/2023 10:00
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
1 - 0
Al Bourj Al Bourj
LBN D1
Al Bourj
1
17%
Draw
0
0%
Al-Ahed
5
83%
Al Bourj Al Bourj Last 6 matches
19/12/2025 08:15
Al Bourj 1 - 0 Al Abbasieh FC LBN D1
12/12/2025 08:15
Al Bourj 2 - 1 Racing Beirut LBN D1
06/12/2025 08:15
Shabab Sahel 1 - 0 Al Bourj LBN D1
22/11/2025 08:00
Al Bourj 0 - 3 Al-Mabarrah LBN FA Cup
09/11/2025 08:15
Al-Safa 2 - 0 Al Bourj LBN D1
26/10/2025 08:15
Al-Hikma 1 - 0 Al Bourj LBN D1
Win
33%
Draw
0%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
20/12/2025 10:00
Shabab Sahel 2 - 1 Al-Ahed LBN D1
13/12/2025 10:15
Al-Safa 0 - 1 Al-Ahed LBN D1
06/12/2025 08:15
Al-Ahed 1 - 5 Al-Ansar (LIB) LBN D1
22/11/2025 08:00
Al-Ahed 1 - 0 Al Abbasieh FC LBN FA Cup
07/11/2025 10:15
Al-Hikma 1 - 3 Al-Ahed LBN D1
01/11/2025 10:15
Al-Ahed 0 - 4 Al-Nejmeh LBN D1
Win
50%
Draw
0%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Lebanese Premier Leagu...
Played games
Al Bourj
Al Bourj
73
 Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
86
Goals
Scored
83
Avg. per game
1.14
Conceded
93
Avg. per game
1.27
Scored
148
Avg. per game
1.72
Conceded
76
Avg. per game
0.88
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 73 home matches
YesNo
47 (64%)26 (36%)
In last 73 home matches
NoYes
66 (77%)20 (23%)
Al Bourj

Al Bourj

Recent matches

Al-Ahed

Al-Ahed

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Al Bourj Al Bourj
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
Shots
Al Bourj
Al Bourj
Total shots
7.88 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
Total shots
9.75 avg / game
Blocked
6 total
Avg. 1.20
Al Bourj Al Bourj Pass Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
50%
Total passes
1856
Avg. 371 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Al Bourj
Al Bourj
3697
Avg. 50.64 / game
 Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
4556
Avg. 52.98 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Al Bourj
Al Bourj
2523
Avg. 34.56 / game
 Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
3434
Avg. 39.93 / game
OTHERS
Al Bourj
Al Bourj
73
Played games
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
86
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.33
24
Clean sheets
38
0.44
2.77
202
Corners
308
3.58
0.00
0
Throw-ins
23
0.27
0.05
4
Offsides
28
0.33
0.00
0
GK saves
10
0.12
Al Bourj
Al Bourj
DISCIPLINARY
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.08
79
Yellow card
96
1.12
0.10
7
Red card
3
0.03
0.00
0
Fouls
127
1.48
0.00
0
Tackles
89
1.03
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
VS
Jwaya Jwaya
LBN

How We Build the Al Bourj vs Al-Ahed Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Al Bourj vs Al-Ahed on 25 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Lebanese Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Al Bourj vs Al-Ahed Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Al Bourj's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Al-Ahed's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Lebanese Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Lebanese Premier League standings and the Lebanese Premier League form table to understand exactly where Al Bourj and Al-Ahed sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Lebanese Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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