Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 January

Al-Ahly Merowe
DDLDW
3rd place in Group C
1 - 1
FT
25/01/2025 09:00
Umm Mughad
DDDDD
2nd place in Group C
Sudanese Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad on 25 January 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad preview before placing your bet.

  • Al-Ahly Merowe are currently 3rd with 6 points after 6 matches.
  • Umm Mughad sit 2nd with 8 points from 6 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 25/01/2025
Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Mergheni Al-Mergheni
13 8 3 4 1 9 6 3
02 Hilal Alsahel Hilal Alsahel
12 8 2 6 0 7 5 2
03 Al Hilal Manaqil Al Hilal Manaqil
9 8 2 3 3 8 7 1
04 Al Shorta Al Qadarif Al Shorta Al Qadarif
9 8 2 3 3 8 8 0
05 Hay Al-Arab Hay Al-Arab
8 8 2 2 4 8 14 -6
Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Rabita Kosti Rabita Kosti
17 10 4 5 1 9 6 3
02 Al-Merreikh Obeid Al-Merreikh Obeid
16 10 5 1 4 15 13 2
03 Zamala Ruwaba Zamala Ruwaba
15 10 3 6 1 14 12 2
04 Hilal El Fasher Hilal El Fasher
12 10 3 3 4 14 14 0
05 Haidoub FC Haidoub FC
12 10 3 3 4 10 13 -3
06 Merreikh Nyala Merreikh Nyala
7 10 1 4 5 10 14 -4
Group C PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Hay Al Wadi Hay Al Wadi
12 6 3 3 0 6 3 3
02 Umm Mughad Umm Mughad
8 6 1 5 0 5 4 1
03 Al-Ahly Merowe Al-Ahly Merowe
6 6 1 3 2 2 3 -1
04 Kober Khartoum Kober Khartoum
4 6 1 1 4 3 6 -3
Group D PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Ahli Wad Madani Al-Ahli Wad Madani
16 8 5 1 2 11 6 5
02 Amal Atbara Amal Atbara
14 8 3 5 0 13 9 4
03 Al Fallah SC Al Fallah SC
9 8 2 3 3 9 11 -2
04 Ahli Al Khartoum Ahli Al Khartoum
9 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2
05 Al Ahly Shendi Al Ahly Shendi
5 8 1 2 5 2 7 -5
Championship Group PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Hilal Omdurman Al-Hilal Omdurman
14 7 4 2 1 15 4 11
02 Al-Ahli Wad Madani Al-Ahli Wad Madani
14 7 4 2 1 8 2 6
03 Al Merreikh Al Merreikh
12 7 3 3 1 5 6 -1
04 Zamala Ruwaba Zamala Ruwaba
11 7 3 2 2 7 5 2
05 Amal Atbara Amal Atbara
8 7 2 2 3 7 7 0
06 Hay Al Wadi Hay Al Wadi
7 7 1 4 2 5 8 -3
07 Al-Mergheni Al-Mergheni
6 7 1 3 3 4 9 -5
08 Al-Merreikh Obeid Al-Merreikh Obeid
2 7 0 2 5 3 13 -10
Al-Ahly Merowe Al-Ahly Merowe Last 6 matches
13/02/2026 20:15
Al Fallah SC 1 - 0 Al-Ahly Merowe Sudanese Premier League
07/02/2026 20:15
Al Saham SC 0 - 0 Al-Ahly Merowe Sudanese Premier League
03/02/2026 20:15
Al-Ahly Merowe 1 - 1 Amal Atbara Sudanese Premier League
30/01/2026 20:15
Al Merreikh B 0 - 0 Al-Ahly Merowe Sudanese Premier League
26/01/2026 20:15
Al Hilal Karima 2 - 2 Al-Ahly Merowe Sudanese Premier League
22/01/2026 20:15
Al-Ahly Merowe 0 - 1 Al Fallah SC Sudanese Premier League
Win
0%
Draw
67%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Umm Mughad Umm Mughad
09/06/2026 20:45
Umm Mughad 3 - 1 Al Fallah SC Sudanese Premier League
05/06/2026 20:45
Al-Ahli Wad Madani 3 - 1 Umm Mughad Sudanese Premier League
01/06/2026 20:45
Hilal Alsahel 2 - 0 Umm Mughad Sudanese Premier League
28/05/2026 20:45
Umm Mughad 2 - 1 Hilal El Fasher Sudanese Premier League
24/05/2026 20:45
Umm Mughad 0 - 3 Al-Hilal Omdurman B Sudanese Premier League
20/05/2026 20:45
Al Merreikh B 5 - 2 Umm Mughad Sudanese Premier League
Win
33%
Draw
0%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Sudanese Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Al-Ahly Merowe
Al-Ahly Merowe
71
 Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
23
Goals
Scored
51
Avg. per game
0.72
Conceded
78
Avg. per game
1.10
Scored
25
Avg. per game
1.09
Conceded
14
Avg. per game
0.61
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 71 matches
YesNo
40 (56%)31 (44%)
In last 71 matches
NoYes
18 (78%)5 (22%)
Al-Ahly Merowe

Al-Ahly Merowe

Recent matches

Umm Mughad

Umm Mughad

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)20 3(13%)

Under /Over

(7%)3 42(93%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)6 17(74%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(57%)13 10(43%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(52%)12 11(48%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Al-Ahly Merowe Al-Ahly Merowe
Umm Mughad Umm Mughad
Shots
Al-Ahly Merowe
Al-Ahly Merowe
Total shots
7.00 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
Total shots
— avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Al-Ahly Merowe Al-Ahly Merowe Pass Umm Mughad Umm Mughad
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
39%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
—
TOTAL ATTACKS
Al-Ahly Merowe
Al-Ahly Merowe
80
Avg. 1.13 / game
 Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
0
Avg. 0.00 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Al-Ahly Merowe
Al-Ahly Merowe
34
Avg. 0.48 / game
 Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
0
Avg. 0.00 / game
OTHERS
Al-Ahly Merowe
Al-Ahly Merowe
71
Played games
Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
23
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.25
18
Clean sheets
9
0.39
0.01
1
Corners
0
0.00
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Al-Ahly Merowe
Al-Ahly Merowe
DISCIPLINARY
Umm Mughad
Umm Mughad
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.04
3
Yellow card
0
0.00
0.00
0
Red card
0
0.00
0.00
0
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad on 25 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Sudanese Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Al-Ahly Merowe's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Umm Mughad's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Sudanese Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Sudanese Premier League standings and the Sudanese Premier League form table to understand exactly where Al-Ahly Merowe and Umm Mughad sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Sudanese Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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