Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 25

Al-Ahly Merowe

D D L D W

3rd place in Group C

1 - 1

25/01/2025 09:00

Umm Mughad

D D D D D

2nd place in Group C

Sudanese Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad on January 25, 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad preview before placing for you.

Al-Ahly Merowe are currently 3rd with 6 points after 6 matches.
Umm Mughad sit 2nd with 8 points from 6 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 25/01/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al-Mergheni	13	8	3	4	1	9	6	3
02 Hilal Alsahel	12	8	2	6	0	7	5	2
03 Al Hilal Manaqil	9	8	2	3	3	8	7	1
04 Al Shorta Al Qadarif	9	8	2	3	3	8	8	0
05 Hay Al-Arab	8	8	2	2	4	8	14	-6

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Rabita Kosti	17	10	4	5	1	9	6	3
02 Al-Merreikh Obeid	16	10	5	1	4	15	13	2
03 Zamala Ruwaba	15	10	3	6	1	14	12	2
04 Hilal El Fasher	12	10	3	3	4	14	14	0
05 Haidoub FC	12	10	3	3	4	10	13	-3
06 Merreikh Nyala	7	10	1	4	5	10	14	-4

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Hay Al Wadi	12	6	3	3	0	6	3	3
02 Umm Mughad	8	6	1	5	0	5	4	1
03 Al-Ahly Merowe	6	6	1	3	2	2	3	-1
04 Kober Khartoum	4	6	1	1	4	3	6	-3

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al-Ahli Wad Madani	16	8	5	1	2	11	6	5
02 Amal Atbara	14	8	3	5	0	13	9	4
03 Al Fallah SC	9	8	2	3	3	9	11	-2
04 Ahli Al Khartoum	9	8	2	3	3	8	10	-2
05 Al Ahly Shendi	5	8	1	2	5	2	7	-5

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al-Hilal Omdurman	14	7	4	2	1	15	4	11
02 Al-Ahli Wad Madani	14	7	4	2	1	8	2	6
03 Al Merreikh	12	7	3	3	1	5	6	-1
04 Zamala Ruwaba	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
05 Amal Atbara	8	7	2	2	3	7	7	0
06 Hay Al Wadi	7	7	1	4	2	5	8	-3
07 Al-Mergheni	6	7	1	3	3	4	9	-5
08 Al-Merreikh Obeid	2	7	0	2	5	3	13	-10

Al-Ahly Merowe Last 6 matches

13/02/2026 20:15

Al Fallah SC 1 - 0 Al-Ahly Merowe Sudanese Premier League

07/02/2026 20:15

Al Saham SC 0 - 0 Al-Ahly Merowe Sudanese Premier League

03/02/2026 20:15

Al-Ahly Merowe 1 - 1 Amal Atbara Sudanese Premier League

30/01/2026 20:15

Al Merreikh B 0 - 0 Al-Ahly Merowe Sudanese Premier League

26/01/2026 20:15

Al Hilal Karima 2 - 2 Al-Ahly Merowe Sudanese Premier League

22/01/2026 20:15

Al-Ahly Merowe 0 - 1 Al Fallah SC Sudanese Premier League

Win

Draw

67%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Umm Mughad

09/06/2026 20:45

Umm Mughad 3 - 1 Al Fallah SC Sudanese Premier League

05/06/2026 20:45

Al-Ahli Wad Madani 3 - 1 Umm Mughad Sudanese Premier League

01/06/2026 20:45

Hilal Alsahel 2 - 0 Umm Mughad Sudanese Premier League

28/05/2026 20:45

Umm Mughad 2 - 1 Hilal El Fasher Sudanese Premier League

24/05/2026 20:45

Umm Mughad 0 - 3 Al-Hilal Omdurman B Sudanese Premier League

20/05/2026 20:45

Al Merreikh B 5 - 2 Umm Mughad Sudanese Premier League

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Sudanese Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Al-Ahly Merowe

Umm Mughad

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.13

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.14

Scored

Avg. per game

0.35

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 71 matches

YesNo

8 (11%)63 (89%)

In last 71 matches

NoYes

6 (26%)17 (74%)

Al-Ahly Merowe

Recent matches

Umm Mughad

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)20 3(13%)

Under /Over

(7%)3 42(93%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)6 17(74%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(57%)13 10(43%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(52%)12 11(48%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Al-Ahly Merowe

Umm Mughad

Shots

Al-Ahly Merowe

Total shots

7.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Umm Mughad

Total shots

— avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Al-Ahly Merowe Pass Umm Mughad

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

39%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

—

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Al-Ahly Merowe

Played games

Umm Mughad

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.39

0.01

Corners

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Al-Ahly Merowe

DISCIPLINARY

Umm Mughad

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.04

0.00

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad on 25 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Sudanese Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Al-Ahly Merowe vs Umm Mughad Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Al-Ahly Merowe's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Umm Mughad's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Sudanese Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Sudanese Premier League standings and the Sudanese Premier League form table to understand exactly where Al-Ahly Merowe and Umm Mughad sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Sudanese Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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