Al-Ahed vs Al-Safa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 April

Al-Ahed
DWWWW
1st place in League
1
1-1
FT
28/04/2024 13:00
Al-Safa
WLWDW
5th place in League
Lebanese Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Al-Ahed vs Al-Safa on 28 April 2024 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Al-Ahed vs Al-Safa preview before placing your bet.

  • Al-Ahed are currently 1st with 28 points after 11 matches.
  • Al-Safa sit 5th with 17 points from 11 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Al-Ahed to win with probability 64%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Al-Ahed, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Al-Safa have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
13:00

2024-04-28

Al-Ahed vs Al-Safa - Prediction & Odds

Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
Al-Safa
Al-Safa
2024-04-28 13:00
64
20
16
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.40
FT
1-1 0-0
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2024
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
28 11 9 1 1 31 6 25
02 Al-Nejmeh Al-Nejmeh
28 11 9 1 1 25 11 14
03 Al Bourj Al Bourj
21 11 6 3 2 17 11 6
04 Al-Ansar (LIB) Al-Ansar (LIB)
20 11 5 5 1 20 13 7
05 Al-Safa Al-Safa
17 11 4 5 2 22 17 5
06 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut
15 11 3 6 2 19 19 0
07 Shabab Sahel Shabab Sahel
14 11 3 5 3 11 15 -4
08 Trables Sports Club Trables Sports Club
12 11 3 3 5 11 13 -2
09 Al-Hikma Al-Hikma
7 11 2 1 8 9 18 -9
10 Alahli Nabatiya Alahli Nabatiya
6 11 0 6 5 5 15 -10
11 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour
5 11 1 2 8 5 16 -11
12 Shabab Al Ghazieh Shabab Al Ghazieh
5 11 1 2 8 5 26 -21
Championship Group PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Nejmeh Al-Nejmeh
46 15 10 2 3 19 9 10
02 Al-Ansar (LIB) Al-Ansar (LIB)
45 15 11 2 2 35 11 24
03 Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
36 15 6 4 5 23 16 7
04 Al-Safa Al-Safa
26 15 4 5 6 13 21 -8
05 Al Bourj Al Bourj
25 15 3 5 7 9 21 -12
06 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut
12 15 0 4 11 10 31 -21
Relegation Quarterfinals PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Shabab Sahel Shabab Sahel
34 15 8 3 4 20 8 12
02 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour
25 15 6 4 5 11 13 -2
03 Al-Hikma Al-Hikma
24 15 5 5 5 12 12 0
04 Shabab Al Ghazieh Shabab Al Ghazieh
23 15 5 5 5 17 15 2
05 Alahli Nabatiya Alahli Nabatiya
22 15 5 4 6 11 17 -6
06 Trables Sports Club Trables Sports Club
21 15 4 3 8 10 16 -6
Head To Head
25/02/2024 13:00
Al-Safa Al-Safa
0 - 0
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LBN D1
29/10/2023 14:45
Al-Safa Al-Safa
1 - 3
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LBN D1
20/10/2022 13:45
Al-Safa Al-Safa
0 - 4
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LBN D1
22/01/2022 12:15
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
2 - 1
Al-Safa Al-Safa
LBN D1
18/04/2021 14:05
Al-Safa Al-Safa
3 - 3
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LBN D1
12/12/2020 14:05
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
2 - 1
Al-Safa Al-Safa
LBN D1
Al-Ahed
4
67%
Draw
2
33%
Al-Safa
0
0%
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed Last 6 matches
05/04/2024 12:00
Al Bourj 0 - 1 Al-Ahed LBN D1
13/03/2024 13:00
Al-Ansar (LIB) 1 - 0 Al-Ahed LBN D1
07/03/2024 13:00
Racing Beirut 1 - 2 Al-Ahed LBN D1
01/03/2024 13:45
Al-Nejmeh 1 - 1 Al-Ahed LBN D1
25/02/2024 13:00
Al-Safa 0 - 0 Al-Ahed LBN D1
20/02/2024 15:59
AI Kahrabaa 0 - 1 Al-Ahed AFC Cup
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Al-Safa Al-Safa
04/04/2024 12:00
Al-Nejmeh 2 - 1 Al-Safa LBN D1
14/03/2024 12:15
Racing Beirut 1 - 2 Al-Safa LBN D1
08/03/2024 12:15
Al Bourj 0 - 2 Al-Safa LBN D1
29/02/2024 13:00
Al-Ansar (LIB) 4 - 1 Al-Safa LBN D1
25/02/2024 13:00
Al-Safa 0 - 0 Al-Ahed LBN D1
16/02/2024 12:20
Al-Safa 1 - 2 Al-Ansar (LIB) INT CF
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Lebanese Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
185
 Al-Safa
Al-Safa
154
Goals
Scored
145
Avg. per game
0.78
Conceded
75
Avg. per game
0.41
Scored
91
Avg. per game
0.59
Conceded
75
Avg. per game
0.49
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 185 matches
YesNo
94 (51%)91 (49%)
In last 185 matches
NoYes
68 (44%)86 (56%)
Al-Ahed

Al-Ahed

Recent matches

Al-Safa

Al-Safa

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
Al-Safa Al-Safa
Shots
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
Total shots
9.34 avg / game
Blocked
17 total
Avg. 1.42
Al-Safa
Al-Safa
Total shots
8.09 avg / game
Blocked
2 total
Avg. 1.00
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed Pass Al-Safa Al-Safa
Total passes
3410
Avg. 379 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
52%
Total passes
540
Avg. 270 / game
Accurate
68%
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
10484
Avg. 56.67 / game
 Al-Safa
Al-Safa
7883
Avg. 51.19 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
7855
Avg. 42.46 / game
 Al-Safa
Al-Safa
5577
Avg. 36.21 / game
OTHERS
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
185
Played games
Al-Safa
Al-Safa
154
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.43
79
Clean sheets
49
0.32
4.08
755
Corners
522
3.39
0.47
87
Throw-ins
67
0.44
0.31
57
Offsides
27
0.18
0.11
20
GK saves
5
0.03
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
DISCIPLINARY
Al-Safa
Al-Safa
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.25
231
Yellow card
151
0.98
0.05
9
Red card
11
0.07
1.47
272
Fouls
137
0.89
0.91
169
Tackles
25
0.16
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Al-Ahed vs Al-Safa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Al-Ahed vs Al-Safa on 28 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Lebanese Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Al-Ahed vs Al-Safa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Al-Ahed's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Al-Safa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Lebanese Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Lebanese Premier League standings and the Lebanese Premier League form table to understand exactly where Al-Ahed and Al-Safa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Lebanese Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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