Al-Ahed vs Al-Mabarrah: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 October

Al-Ahed
DLWLW
3rd place in League
1
2-0
FT
17/10/2025 09:15
Al-Mabarrah
WDLLL
8th place in League
Lebanese Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Al-Ahed vs Al-Mabarrah on 17 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Al-Ahed vs Al-Mabarrah preview before placing your bet.

  • Al-Ahed are currently 3rd with 40 points after 21 matches.
  • Al-Mabarrah sit 8th with 22 points from 21 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Al-Ahed to win with probability 75%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Al-Ahed, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Al-Mabarrah have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
09:15

2025-10-17

Al-Ahed vs Al-Mabarrah - Prediction & Odds

Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
Al-Mabarrah
Al-Mabarrah
2025-10-17 09:15
75
16
9
1
3 - 1
3 - 1
3.25
1.20
FT
2-0 1-0
-
weather
26°C
STANDINGS UP TO 17/10/2025
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Ansar (LIB) Al-Ansar (LIB)
53 21 17 2 2 53 9 44
02 Al-Nejmeh Al-Nejmeh
46 21 14 4 3 42 10 32
03 Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
40 21 13 1 7 34 22 12
04 Jwaya Jwaya
38 21 11 5 5 31 14 17
05 Al-Safa Al-Safa
36 21 11 3 7 30 17 13
06 Al-Hikma Al-Hikma
30 21 9 3 9 29 27 2
07 Shabab Sahel Shabab Sahel
27 21 7 6 8 22 21 1
08 Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
22 21 5 7 9 12 36 -24
09 Al Abbasieh FC Al Abbasieh FC
20 21 5 5 11 16 30 -14
10 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour
17 21 3 8 10 12 26 -14
11 Al Bourj Al Bourj
10 11 3 1 7 8 20 -12
12 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut
1 21 0 1 20 4 61 -57
Relegation Quarterfinals PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al Abbasieh FC Al Abbasieh FC
10 4 3 1 0 8 2 6
02 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour
7 4 2 1 1 5 3 2
03 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut
0 4 0 0 4 2 10 -8
Qualifying A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Ansar (LIB) Al-Ansar (LIB)
3 2 1 0 1 5 3 2
02 Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
3 2 1 0 1 3 3 0
03 Al-Safa Al-Safa
3 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2
Qualifying B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Nejmeh Al-Nejmeh
4 2 1 1 0 3 2 1
02 Jwaya Jwaya
4 2 1 1 0 2 1 1
03 Al-Hikma Al-Hikma
0 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2
Championship Round PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Al-Nejmeh Al-Nejmeh
11 5 3 2 0 7 3 4
02 Al-Ansar (LIB) Al-Ansar (LIB)
9 5 2 3 0 9 6 3
03 Jwaya Jwaya
5 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2
04 Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
3 6 0 3 3 7 12 -5
Head To Head
15/12/2017 07:30
Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
0 - 2
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LIB
25/01/2014 08:15
Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
0 - 0
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LBN D1
30/11/2013 08:15
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
1 - 0
Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
LBN D1
17/04/2012 08:30
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
2 - 0
Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
LBN D1
13/01/2012 07:45
Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
0 - 1
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LIB
07/01/2012 11:30
Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
1 - 2
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
LBN D1
Al-Ahed
5
83%
Draw
1
17%
Al-Mabarrah
0
0%
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed Last 6 matches
04/10/2025 09:15
Al-Ahed 1 - 0 Jwayya LBN D1
26/09/2025 08:30
Al-Ahed 3 - 0 Racing Beirut LBN D1
20/09/2025 08:30
Al Abbasieh FC 0 - 3 Al-Ahed LBN D1
16/07/2025 09:30
Al-Hikma 3 - 1 Al-Ahed LBN D1
12/07/2025 10:00
Al-Ahed 1 - 1 Al-Safa LBN D1
08/07/2025 09:00
Al-Ahed 5 - 3 Tadamon Sour LBN D1
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
05/10/2025 08:30
Al-Mabarrah 1 - 1 Al Abbasieh FC LBN D1
28/09/2025 08:30
Al Bourj 0 - 0 Al-Mabarrah LBN D1
19/09/2025 08:30
Shabab Sahel 0 - 0 Al-Mabarrah LBN D1
05/06/2025 09:00
Al-Kharayeb Brothers Club 6 - 4 Al-Mabarrah LBN D2
01/06/2025 09:00
Al-Mabarrah 4 - 2 Al Ahli Nabatieh LBN D2
22/05/2025 09:00
Al-Mabarrah 3 - 0 Salam Zgharta LBN D2
Win
33%
Draw
50%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Lebanese Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
185
 Al-Mabarrah
Al-Mabarrah
68
Goals
Scored
145
Avg. per game
0.78
Conceded
75
Avg. per game
0.41
Scored
30
Avg. per game
0.44
Conceded
50
Avg. per game
0.74
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 185 matches
YesNo
94 (51%)91 (49%)
In last 185 matches
NoYes
22 (32%)46 (68%)
Al-Ahed

Al-Ahed

Recent matches

Al-Mabarrah

Al-Mabarrah

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed
Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
Shots
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
Total shots
9.34 avg / game
Blocked
17 total
Avg. 1.42
Al-Mabarrah
Al-Mabarrah
Total shots
9.29 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Al-Ahed Al-Ahed Pass Al-Mabarrah Al-Mabarrah
Total passes
3410
Avg. 379 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
52%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
10484
Avg. 56.67 / game
 Al-Mabarrah
Al-Mabarrah
4978
Avg. 73.21 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
7855
Avg. 42.46 / game
 Al-Mabarrah
Al-Mabarrah
3911
Avg. 57.51 / game
OTHERS
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
185
Played games
Al-Mabarrah
Al-Mabarrah
68
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.43
79
Clean sheets
28
0.41
4.08
755
Corners
277
4.07
0.47
87
Throw-ins
15
0.22
0.31
57
Offsides
10
0.15
0.11
20
GK saves
0
0.00
Al-Ahed
Al-Ahed
DISCIPLINARY
Al-Mabarrah
Al-Mabarrah
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.25
231
Yellow card
104
1.53
0.05
9
Red card
8
0.12
1.47
272
Fouls
63
0.93
0.91
169
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Al-Ahed vs Al-Mabarrah Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Al-Ahed vs Al-Mabarrah on 17 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Lebanese Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Al-Ahed vs Al-Mabarrah Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Al-Ahed's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Al-Mabarrah's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Lebanese Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Lebanese Premier League standings and the Lebanese Premier League form table to understand exactly where Al-Ahed and Al-Mabarrah sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Lebanese Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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