AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 February

AFC Ajax

L W D W W

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

2-2

18/02/2024 09:30

NEC Nijmegen

W D L W L

6th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 18 February 2024 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax are currently 5th with 56 points after 34 matches.
NEC Nijmegen sit 6th with 53 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 68%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. NEC Nijmegen have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2024-02-18

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

2024-02-18 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 18/02/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	91	34	29	4	1	111	21	90
02 Feyenoord	84	34	26	6	2	92	26	66
03 FC Twente Enschede	69	34	21	6	7	69	36	33
04 AZ Alkmaar	65	34	19	8	7	70	39	31
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	15	11	8	74	61	13
06 NEC Nijmegen	53	34	14	11	9	68	51	17
07 FC Utrecht	50	34	13	11	10	49	47	2
08 Sparta Rotterdam	49	34	14	7	13	51	48	3
09 Go Ahead Eagles	46	34	12	10	12	47	46	1
10 Fortuna Sittard	38	34	9	11	14	37	56	-19
11 SC Heerenveen	37	34	10	7	17	53	70	-17
12 PEC Zwolle	36	34	9	9	16	45	67	-22
13 Almere City FC	34	34	7	13	14	33	59	-26
14 Heracles Almelo	33	34	9	6	19	41	74	-33
15 RKC Waalwijk	29	34	7	8	19	38	56	-18
16 Excelsior SBV	29	34	6	11	17	50	73	-23
17 Volendam	19	34	4	7	23	34	88	-54
18 Vitesse Arnhem	6	34	6	6	22	30	74	-44

Head To Head

03/12/2023 09:30

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

05/03/2023 11:45

AFC Ajax

1 - 0

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

08/01/2023 09:30

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

23/04/2022 10:30

NEC Nijmegen

0 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

14/08/2021 15:00

AFC Ajax

5 - 0

NEC Nijmegen

HOL D1

08/04/2017 13:45

NEC Nijmegen

1 - 5

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

83%

Draw

17%

NEC Nijmegen

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

15/02/2024 16:00

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 Bodo Glimt UEFA ECL

11/02/2024 09:30

SC Heerenveen 3 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

03/02/2024 15:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 1 PSV Eindhoven HOL D1

27/01/2024 16:00

Heracles Almelo 2 - 4 AFC Ajax HOL D1

21/01/2024 11:45

AFC Ajax 4 - 1 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

14/01/2024 09:30

Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 3 AFC Ajax HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches NEC Nijmegen

09/02/2024 15:00

RKC Waalwijk 2 - 0 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

06/02/2024 15:00

NEC Nijmegen 3 - 0 ADO Den Haag HOLC

03/02/2024 16:00

NEC Nijmegen 3 - 1 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

28/01/2024 09:30

Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 2 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

20/01/2024 11:30

NEC Nijmegen 1 - 0 FC Twente Enschede HOL D1

17/01/2024 13:45

NEC Nijmegen 2 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles HOLC

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

226

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

273

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

196

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

199 (66%)101 (34%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

169 (62%)103 (38%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

NEC Nijmegen

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(82%)37 8(18%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.05 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.99

NEC Nijmegen

Total shots

13.53 avg / game

Blocked

612 total

Avg. 3.78

AFC Ajax Pass NEC Nijmegen

Total passes

146219

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

78808

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

300

Played games

NEC Nijmegen

272

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

101

Clean sheets

0.25

5.70

1709

Corners

1339

4.92

14.57

4370

Throw-ins

3716

13.66

1.65

495

Offsides

312

1.15

2.55

765

GK saves

807

2.97

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

NEC Nijmegen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

440

355

1.31

0.08

0.07

9.79

2936

Fouls

2380

8.75

11.99

3597

Tackles

2797

10.28

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 18 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against NEC Nijmegen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and NEC Nijmegen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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