AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 February

AFC Ajax

W L D L D

2nd place in Holland Eredivisie

4-0

16/02/2025 11:45

Heracles Almelo

W L L W L

14th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo on 16 February 2025 (kick-off: 11:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax are currently 2nd with 78 points after 34 matches.
Heracles Almelo sit 14th with 38 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 76%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Heracles Almelo have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:45

2025-02-16

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo

2025-02-16 11:45

STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	79	34	25	4	5	103	39	64
02 AFC Ajax	78	34	24	6	4	67	32	35
03 Feyenoord	68	34	20	8	6	76	38	38
04 FC Utrecht	64	34	18	10	6	62	45	17
05 AZ Alkmaar	57	34	16	9	9	58	37	21
06 FC Twente Enschede	54	34	15	9	10	62	49	13
07 Go Ahead Eagles	51	34	14	9	11	57	55	2
08 NEC Nijmegen	43	34	12	7	15	51	46	5
09 SC Heerenveen	43	34	12	7	15	42	57	-15
10 PEC Zwolle	41	34	10	11	13	43	51	-8
11 Fortuna Sittard	41	34	11	8	15	37	54	-17
12 Sparta Rotterdam	39	34	9	12	13	39	43	-4
13 Groningen	39	34	10	9	15	40	53	-13
14 Heracles Almelo	38	34	9	11	14	42	63	-21
15 NAC Breda	33	34	8	9	17	34	58	-24
16 Willem II	26	34	6	8	20	34	56	-22
17 RKC Waalwijk	25	34	6	7	21	44	74	-30
18 Almere City FC	22	34	4	10	20	23	64	-41

Head To Head

20/10/2024 08:30

Heracles Almelo

3 - 4

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

27/01/2024 16:00

Heracles Almelo

2 - 4

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

12/08/2023 14:00

AFC Ajax

4 - 1

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

06/02/2022 11:45

AFC Ajax

3 - 0

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

30/10/2021 12:45

Heracles Almelo

0 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

13/02/2021 13:45

Heracles Almelo

0 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

83%

Draw

17%

Heracles Almelo

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

09/02/2025 09:30

Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

02/02/2025 09:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 1 Feyenoord HOL D1

30/01/2025 16:00

AFC Ajax 2 - 1 Galatasaray UEFA EL

23/01/2025 16:00

FK Rigas Futbola skola 1 - 0 AFC Ajax UEFA EL

19/01/2025 09:30

SC Heerenveen 0 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

14/01/2025 13:45

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 AFC Ajax HOLC

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Heracles Almelo

08/02/2025 11:30

Heracles Almelo 4 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles HOL D1

04/02/2025 15:00

Heracles Almelo 2 - 0 FC Utrecht HOLC

31/01/2025 15:00

NAC Breda 1 - 1 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

28/01/2025 15:00

Heracles Almelo 1 - 1 Groningen HOL D1

24/01/2025 15:00

Heracles Almelo 1 - 1 FC Utrecht HOL D1

19/01/2025 09:30

Almere City FC 0 - 2 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.18

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

13 (76%)4 (24%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

11 (65%)6 (35%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

Heracles Almelo

Under /Over

(88%)15 2(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)15 2(12%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(65%)11 6(35%)

/Yes

(47%)8 9(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(82%)14 3(18%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

16.00 avg / game

Blocked

53 total

Avg. 4.08

Heracles Almelo

Total shots

14.24 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 3.29

AFC Ajax Pass Heracles Almelo

Total passes

9984

Avg. 587 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

6378

Avg. 375 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

Played games

Heracles Almelo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.18

6.76

115

Corners

103

6.06

14.82

252

Throw-ins

364

21.41

1.65

Offsides

1.82

2.47

GK saves

4.00

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

Heracles Almelo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.29

1.88

0.06

0.12

9.35

159

Fouls

205

12.06

13.06

222

Tackles

317

18.65

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo on 16 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Heracles Almelo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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