AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 March

AFC Ajax

W L D L D

2nd place in Holland Eredivisie

2-2

16/03/2025 15:50

AZ Alkmaar

L D W W W

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar on 16 March 2025 (kick-off: 15:50) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing your bet.

AFC Ajax are currently 2nd with 78 points after 34 matches.
AZ Alkmaar sit 5th with 57 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. AFC Ajax have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:50

2025-03-16

AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

AZ Alkmaar

2025-03-16 15:50

STANDINGS UP TO 16/03/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	79	34	25	4	5	103	39	64
02 AFC Ajax	78	34	24	6	4	67	32	35
03 Feyenoord	68	34	20	8	6	76	38	38
04 FC Utrecht	64	34	18	10	6	62	45	17
05 AZ Alkmaar	57	34	16	9	9	58	37	21
06 FC Twente Enschede	54	34	15	9	10	62	49	13
07 Go Ahead Eagles	51	34	14	9	11	57	55	2
08 NEC Nijmegen	43	34	12	7	15	51	46	5
09 SC Heerenveen	43	34	12	7	15	42	57	-15
10 PEC Zwolle	41	34	10	11	13	43	51	-8
11 Fortuna Sittard	41	34	11	8	15	37	54	-17
12 Sparta Rotterdam	39	34	9	12	13	39	43	-4
13 Groningen	39	34	10	9	15	40	53	-13
14 Heracles Almelo	38	34	9	11	14	42	63	-21
15 NAC Breda	33	34	8	9	17	34	58	-24
16 Willem II	26	34	6	8	20	34	56	-22
17 RKC Waalwijk	25	34	6	7	21	44	74	-30
18 Almere City FC	22	34	4	10	20	23	64	-41

Head To Head

14/01/2025 17:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOLC

08/12/2024 13:30

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

25/02/2024 15:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

08/10/2023 12:30

AFC Ajax

1 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

06/05/2023 19:00

AFC Ajax

0 - 0

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

18/09/2022 14:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

Draw

17%

AZ Alkmaar

83%

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

09/03/2025 13:30

PEC Zwolle 0 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

06/03/2025 20:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt UEFA EL

02/03/2025 13:30

Almere City FC 0 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

23/02/2025 13:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles HOL D1

20/02/2025 20:00

AFC Ajax 0 - 2 Saint Gilloise UEFA EL

16/02/2025 15:45

AFC Ajax 4 - 0 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AZ Alkmaar

06/03/2025 17:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur UEFA EL

02/03/2025 11:15

SC Heerenveen 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

27/02/2025 19:00

Heracles Almelo 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOLC

23/02/2025 15:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

20/02/2025 17:45

Galatasaray 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar UEFA EL

13/02/2025 20:00

AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Galatasaray UEFA EL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

226

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

317

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

199 (66%)101 (34%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

202 (67%)98 (33%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

AZ Alkmaar

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.05 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.99

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.82 avg / game

Blocked

806 total

Avg. 3.61

AFC Ajax Pass AZ Alkmaar

Total passes

146219

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

125982

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

300

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

101

Clean sheets

0.31

5.70

1709

Corners

1629

5.43

14.57

4370

Throw-ins

4255

14.18

1.65

495

Offsides

496

1.65

2.55

765

GK saves

623

2.08

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

440

476

1.59

0.08

0.05

9.79

2936

Fouls

2951

9.84

11.99

3597

Tackles

3795

12.65

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar on 16 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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