AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 06

AFC Ajax

W L D W W

3rd place in Holland Eredivisie

0-0

06/05/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar

W W D W W

4th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar on May 06, 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing for you.

AFC Ajax are currently 3rd with 69 points after 34 matches.
AZ Alkmaar sit 4th with 67 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2023-05-06

AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction & Odds

AFC Ajax

AZ Alkmaar

2023-05-06 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 06/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Feyenoord	82	34	25	7	2	81	30	51
02 PSV Eindhoven	75	34	23	6	5	89	40	49
03 AFC Ajax	69	34	20	9	5	86	38	48
04 AZ Alkmaar	67	34	20	7	7	68	35	33
05 FC Twente Enschede	64	34	18	10	6	66	27	39
06 Sparta Rotterdam	59	34	17	8	9	60	37	23
07 FC Utrecht	54	34	15	9	10	55	50	5
08 SC Heerenveen	46	34	12	10	12	44	50	-6
09 RKC Waalwijk	41	34	11	8	15	50	64	-14
10 Vitesse Arnhem	40	34	10	10	14	45	50	-5
11 Go Ahead Eagles	40	34	10	10	14	46	56	-10
12 NEC Nijmegen	39	34	8	15	11	42	45	-3
13 Fortuna Sittard	36	34	10	6	18	39	62	-23
14 Volendam	36	34	10	6	18	42	71	-29
15 Excelsior SBV	32	34	9	5	20	32	71	-39
16 Emmen	28	34	6	10	18	33	65	-32
17 SC Cambuur	19	34	5	4	25	26	69	-43
18 Groningen	18	34	4	6	24	31	75	-44

Head To Head

18/09/2022 10:45

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

08/05/2022 08:30

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

03/03/2022 15:00

AZ Alkmaar

0 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOLC

12/12/2021 11:45

AFC Ajax

1 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

25/04/2021 08:30

AFC Ajax

2 - 0

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

31/01/2021 11:45

AZ Alkmaar

0 - 3

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

AFC Ajax

50%

Draw

17%

AZ Alkmaar

33%

AFC Ajax Last 6 matches

23/04/2023 08:30

PSV Eindhoven 3 - 0 AFC Ajax HOL D1

16/04/2023 14:00

AFC Ajax 3 - 1 Emmen HOL D1

09/04/2023 10:45

AFC Ajax 4 - 0 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

05/04/2023 14:00

Feyenoord 1 - 2 AFC Ajax HOLC

02/04/2023 06:15

Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 AFC Ajax HOL D1

19/03/2023 09:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 3 Feyenoord HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AZ Alkmaar

23/04/2023 14:00

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 RKC Waalwijk HOL D1

20/04/2023 12:45

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 Anderlecht UEFA ECL

16/04/2023 14:00

Fortuna Sittard 0 - 3 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

13/04/2023 15:00

Anderlecht 2 - 0 AZ Alkmaar UEFA ECL

08/04/2023 14:00

AZ Alkmaar 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam HOL D1

01/04/2023 10:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 SC Heerenveen HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

AFC Ajax

AZ Alkmaar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

13 (76%)4 (24%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

10 (59%)7 (41%)

AFC Ajax

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)15 2(12%)

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

/Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AFC Ajax

AZ Alkmaar

Shots

AFC Ajax

Total shots

22.00 avg / game

Blocked

91 total

Avg. 6.07

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

15.53 avg / game

Blocked

52 total

Avg. 4.00

AFC Ajax Pass AZ Alkmaar

Total passes

11105

Avg. 653 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

68%

Total passes

8817

Avg. 519 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AFC Ajax

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

Clean sheets

0.24

9.71

165

Corners

102

6.00

17.53

298

Throw-ins

315

18.53

2.12

Offsides

1.88

2.06

GK saves

1.76

AFC Ajax

DISCIPLINARY

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.00

1.47

0.06

0.06

8.59

146

Fouls

151

8.88

16.82

286

Tackles

283

16.65

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar on 06 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AFC Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AFC Ajax's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AFC Ajax and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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