AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 02 October

AEK Larnaca

W W L D W

8th place in Group A

4-0

02/10/2025 15:00

AZ Alkmaar

L D D W W

14th place in Group A

UEFA Europa Conference League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar on 02 October 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing your bet.

AEK Larnaca are currently 8th with 12 points after 6 matches.
AZ Alkmaar sit 14th with 10 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 43%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-10-02

AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction & Odds

AEK Larnaca

AZ Alkmaar

2025-10-02 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 02/10/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Strasbourg	16	6	5	1	0	11	5	6
02 Rakow Czestochowa	14	6	4	2	0	9	2	7
03 AEK Athens	13	6	4	1	1	14	7	7
04 AC Sparta Prague	13	6	4	1	1	10	3	7
05 Rayo Vallecano	13	6	4	1	1	13	7	6
06 FC Shakhtar Donetsk	13	6	4	1	1	10	5	5
07 FSV Mainz 05	13	6	4	1	1	7	3	4
08 AEK Larnaca	12	6	3	3	0	7	1	6
09 Lausanne Sports	11	6	3	2	1	6	3	3
10 Crystal Palace	10	6	3	1	2	11	6	5
11 Lech Poznan	10	6	3	1	2	12	8	4
12 Samsunspor	10	6	3	1	2	10	6	4
13 NK Publikum Celje	10	6	3	1	2	8	7	1
14 AZ Alkmaar	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
15 Fiorentina	9	6	3	0	3	8	5	3
16 Rijeka	9	6	2	3	1	5	2	3
17 Jagiellonia Bialystok	9	6	2	3	1	5	4	1
18 Omonia Nicosia FC	8	6	2	2	2	5	4	1
19 FC Noah	8	6	2	2	2	6	7	-1
20 KF Drita Gjilan	8	6	2	2	2	4	8	-4
21 KuPs	7	6	1	4	1	6	5	1
22 FK Shkendija 79	7	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1
23 HSK Zrinjski Mostar	7	6	2	1	3	8	10	-2
24 Sigma Olomouc	7	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2
25 CS Universitatea Craiova	7	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC	7	6	2	1	3	7	15	-8
27 Dynamo Kyiv	6	6	2	0	4	9	9	0
28 Legia Warszawa	6	6	2	0	4	8	8	0
29 Slovan Bratislava	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
30 Breidablik	5	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5
31 Shamrock Rovers	4	6	1	1	4	7	13	-6
32 Hacken	3	6	0	3	3	5	8	-3
33 Hamrun Spartans	3	6	1	0	5	4	11	-7
34 Shelbourne	2	6	0	2	4	0	7	-7
35 Aberdeen	2	6	0	2	4	3	14	-11
36 Rapid Wien	1	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11

AEK Larnaca Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 12:00

Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC 0 - 4 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

22/09/2025 12:00

AEK Larnaca 3 - 2 Aris Limassol CYP D1

17/09/2025 12:00

Omonia Nicosia FC 1 - 0 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

13/09/2025 13:00

Anorthosis Famagusta FC 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

31/08/2025 12:00

AEK Larnaca 2 - 0 AEL Limassol CYP D1

27/08/2025 12:30

AEK Larnaca 0 - 4 Brann UEFA EL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AZ Alkmaar

28/09/2025 06:15

NEC Nijmegen 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

24/09/2025 14:00

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle HOL D1

21/09/2025 10:45

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 3 Feyenoord HOL D1

14/09/2025 08:30

Heracles Almelo 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

31/08/2025 10:45

NAC Breda 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

28/08/2025 13:30

AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Levski Sofia UEFA ECL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa Conference...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

246

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

172

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

320

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

171 (57%)129 (43%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

203 (68%)97 (32%)

AEK Larnaca

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AEK Larnaca

AZ Alkmaar

Shots

AEK Larnaca

Total shots

11.49 avg / game

Blocked

116 total

Avg. 2.58

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.84 avg / game

Blocked

805 total

Avg. 3.61

AEK Larnaca Pass AZ Alkmaar

Total passes

9130

Avg. 351 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

125977

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AEK Larnaca

300

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

110

Clean sheets

0.31

4.96

1488

Corners

1626

5.42

3.61

1084

Throw-ins

4240

14.13

0.83

248

Offsides

492

1.64

1.91

572

GK saves

629

2.10

AEK Larnaca

DISCIPLINARY

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

558

476

1.59

0.08

0.05

6.08

1824

Fouls

2953

9.84

0.75

225

Tackles

3788

12.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar on 02 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AEK Larnaca vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AEK Larnaca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa Conference League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa Conference League standings and the UEFA Europa Conference League form table to understand exactly where AEK Larnaca and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa Conference League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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