AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 April

AEK Athens

L W W L D

3rd place in Group A

3-1

16/04/2026 15:00

Rayo Vallecano

L W W L L

5th place in Group A

UEFA Europa Conference League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano on 16 April 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano preview before placing your bet.

AEK Athens are currently 3rd with 13 points after 6 matches.
Rayo Vallecano sit 5th with 13 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AEK Athens to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Rayo Vallecano, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. AEK Athens have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-04-16

AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano - Prediction & Odds

AEK Athens

Rayo Vallecano

2026-04-16 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/04/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Strasbourg	16	6	5	1	0	11	5	6
02 Rakow Czestochowa	14	6	4	2	0	9	2	7
03 AEK Athens	13	6	4	1	1	14	7	7
04 AC Sparta Prague	13	6	4	1	1	10	3	7
05 Rayo Vallecano	13	6	4	1	1	13	7	6
06 FC Shakhtar Donetsk	13	6	4	1	1	10	5	5
07 FSV Mainz 05	13	6	4	1	1	7	3	4
08 AEK Larnaca	12	6	3	3	0	7	1	6
09 Lausanne Sports	11	6	3	2	1	6	3	3
10 Crystal Palace	10	6	3	1	2	11	6	5
11 Lech Poznan	10	6	3	1	2	12	8	4
12 Samsunspor	10	6	3	1	2	10	6	4
13 NK Publikum Celje	10	6	3	1	2	8	7	1
14 AZ Alkmaar	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
15 Fiorentina	9	6	3	0	3	8	5	3
16 Rijeka	9	6	2	3	1	5	2	3
17 Jagiellonia Bialystok	9	6	2	3	1	5	4	1
18 Omonia Nicosia FC	8	6	2	2	2	5	4	1
19 FC Noah	8	6	2	2	2	6	7	-1
20 KF Drita Gjilan	8	6	2	2	2	4	8	-4
21 KuPs	7	6	1	4	1	6	5	1
22 FK Shkendija 79	7	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1
23 HSK Zrinjski Mostar	7	6	2	1	3	8	10	-2
24 Sigma Olomouc	7	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2
25 CS Universitatea Craiova	7	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC	7	6	2	1	3	7	15	-8
27 Dynamo Kyiv	6	6	2	0	4	9	9	0
28 Legia Warszawa	6	6	2	0	4	8	8	0
29 Slovan Bratislava	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
30 Breidablik	5	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5
31 Shamrock Rovers	4	6	1	1	4	7	13	-6
32 Hacken	3	6	0	3	3	5	8	-3
33 Hamrun Spartans	3	6	1	0	5	4	11	-7
34 Shelbourne	2	6	0	2	4	0	7	-7
35 Aberdeen	2	6	0	2	4	3	14	-11
36 Rapid Wien	1	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11

Head To Head

09/04/2026 12:45

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 0

AEK Athens

UEFA ECL

AEK Athens

Draw

Rayo Vallecano

100%

AEK Athens Last 6 matches

09/04/2026 12:45

Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 AEK Athens UEFA ECL

05/04/2026 14:00

Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 1 AEK Athens GRE D1

22/03/2026 13:00

AEK Athens 3 - 0 AE Kifisias GRE D1

19/03/2026 13:45

AEK Athens 0 - 2 NK Publikum Celje UEFA ECL

15/03/2026 13:30

Atromitos Athens 2 - 2 AEK Athens GRE D1

12/03/2026 16:00

NK Publikum Celje 0 - 4 AEK Athens UEFA ECL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Rayo Vallecano

12/04/2026 10:15

Mallorca 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

09/04/2026 12:45

Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 AEK Athens UEFA ECL

03/04/2026 15:00

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Elche SPA D1

22/03/2026 09:00

FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

19/03/2026 16:00

Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Samsunspor UEFA ECL

16/03/2026 16:00

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Levante SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa Conference...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

273

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

196

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

188

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

189 (63%)111 (37%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

145 (48%)155 (52%)

AEK Athens

Recent matches

Rayo Vallecano

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AEK Athens

Rayo Vallecano

Shots

AEK Athens

Total shots

14.80 avg / game

Blocked

473 total

Avg. 4.19

Rayo Vallecano

Total shots

12.80 avg / game

Blocked

724 total

Avg. 3.55

AEK Athens Pass Rayo Vallecano

Total passes

72983

Avg. 459 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

91173

Avg. 422 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AEK Athens

300

Played games

Rayo Vallecano

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.44

131

Clean sheets

0.29

5.67

1702

Corners

1473

4.91

8.00

2400

Throw-ins

4765

15.88

1.56

468

Offsides

587

1.96

1.91

573

GK saves

728

2.43

AEK Athens

DISCIPLINARY

Rayo Vallecano

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.25

674

725

2.42

0.07

0.12

12.59

3778

Fouls

3813

12.71

5.61

1682

Tackles

3257

10.86

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano on 16 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AEK Athens's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Rayo Vallecano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa Conference League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa Conference League standings and the UEFA Europa Conference League form table to understand exactly where AEK Athens and Rayo Vallecano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa Conference League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions

Find every upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less