AEK Athens vs AFC Ajax Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 05

AEK Athens

L W W W D

4th place in Group B

1-1

05/10/2023 12:45

AFC Ajax

W L D L D

3rd place in Group B

UEFA Europa League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AEK Athens vs AFC Ajax on October 05, 2023 (kick-off: 12:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AEK Athens vs AFC Ajax preview before placing for you.

AEK Athens are currently 4th with 4 points after 6 matches.
AFC Ajax sit 3rd with 5 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AEK Athens to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 2 of the last 2 meetings. AEK Athens have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:45

2023-10-05

AEK Athens vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

AEK Athens

AFC Ajax

2023-10-05 12:45

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2023

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Brighton Hove Albion	13	6	4	1	1	10	5	5
02 Marseille	11	6	3	2	1	14	10	4
03 AFC Ajax	5	6	1	2	3	10	13	-3
04 AEK Athens	4	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6

Head To Head

27/11/2018 13:55

AEK Athens

0 - 2

AFC Ajax

UEFA CL

19/09/2018 12:55

AFC Ajax

3 - 0

AEK Athens

UEFA CL

AEK Athens

Draw

AFC Ajax

100%

AEK Athens Last 6 matches

02/10/2023 13:00

OFI Crete 2 - 0 AEK Athens GRE D1

28/09/2023 14:00

AEK Athens 2 - 1 Atromitos Athens GRE D1

25/09/2023 14:00

Panathinaikos 1 - 2 AEK Athens GRE D1

21/09/2023 15:00

Brighton Hove Albion 2 - 3 AEK Athens UEFA EL

17/09/2023 14:30

AEK Athens 1 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus GRE D1

03/09/2023 14:30

Volos NFC 2 - 3 AEK Athens GRE D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

30/09/2023 15:00

RKC Waalwijk 2 - 3 AFC Ajax HOL D1

27/09/2023 08:00

AFC Ajax 0 - 4 Feyenoord HOL D1

21/09/2023 15:00

AFC Ajax 3 - 3 Marseille UEFA EL

17/09/2023 08:30

FC Twente Enschede 3 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

03/09/2023 08:30

Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 AFC Ajax HOL D1

31/08/2023 14:00

AFC Ajax 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad UEFA EL

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

272

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

155

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

226

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

188 (63%)112 (37%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

199 (66%)101 (34%)

AEK Athens

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AEK Athens

AFC Ajax

Shots

AEK Athens

Total shots

14.83 avg / game

Blocked

471 total

Avg. 4.21

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.05 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.99

AEK Athens Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

72563

Avg. 459 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

146219

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AEK Athens

300

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.44

132

Clean sheets

101

0.34

5.66

1699

Corners

1709

5.70

7.96

2389

Throw-ins

4370

14.57

1.54

461

Offsides

495

1.65

1.90

569

GK saves

765

2.55

AEK Athens

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.24

671

440

1.47

0.07

0.08

12.59

3776

Fouls

2936

9.79

5.58

1674

Tackles

3597

11.99

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AEK Athens vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AEK Athens vs AFC Ajax on 05 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AEK Athens vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AEK Athens's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa League standings and the UEFA Europa League form table to understand exactly where AEK Athens and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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