AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

AD Tarma

W D L L W

9th place in Clausura

3-2

04/10/2025 13:15

Sporting Cristal

W L L W W

3rd place in Clausura

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 13:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal preview before placing your bet.

AD Tarma are currently 9th with 25 points after 17 matches.
Sporting Cristal sit 3rd with 31 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AD Tarma to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Sporting Cristal, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. AD Tarma have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:15

2025-10-04

AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal - Prediction & Odds

AD Tarma

Sporting Cristal

2025-10-04 13:15

STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	40	17	12	4	1	29	13	16
02 Cusco FC	36	17	11	3	3	29	15	14
03 Sporting Cristal	31	17	9	4	4	29	13	16
04 Alianza Lima	31	17	9	4	4	30	19	11
05 Cienciano	27	17	8	3	6	25	21	4
06 Los Chankas	27	17	9	0	8	21	28	-7
07 FBC Melgar	25	17	6	7	4	24	17	7
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	25	17	6	7	4	20	21	-1
09 AD Tarma	25	17	7	4	6	19	20	-1
10 Alianza Atletico Sullana	23	17	6	5	6	15	12	3
11 Comerciantes Unidos	23	17	6	5	6	17	22	-5
12 Sport Huancayo	18	17	5	3	9	28	28	0
13 Ayacucho Futbol Club	17	17	5	2	10	17	26	-9
14 Alianza Universidad	17	17	5	2	10	23	33	-10
15 Atletico Grau	16	17	4	4	9	19	24	-5
16 Sport Boys	16	17	4	4	9	14	25	-11
17 Juan Pablo II College	14	17	3	5	9	13	23	-10
18 UTC Cajamarca	13	17	3	4	10	16	28	-12
19 EM Deportivo Binacional	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	39	18	12	3	3	38	12	26
02 Alianza Lima	37	18	11	4	3	23	11	12
03 Cusco FC	34	18	10	4	4	34	20	14
04 Alianza Atletico Sullana	34	18	11	1	6	28	18	10
05 Sporting Cristal	32	18	10	2	6	31	24	7
06 FBC Melgar	31	18	8	7	3	28	20	8
07 Sport Huancayo	30	18	9	3	6	23	21	2
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	27	18	8	3	7	28	19	9
09 AD Tarma	24	18	6	6	6	24	30	-6
10 Cienciano	23	18	5	8	5	29	25	4
11 Los Chankas	23	18	5	8	5	24	25	-1
12 Atletico Grau	22	18	5	7	6	23	24	-1
13 Sport Boys	20	18	5	5	8	26	28	-2
14 Juan Pablo II College	19	18	5	4	9	20	28	-8
15 UTC Cajamarca	19	18	5	4	9	17	34	-17
16 EM Deportivo Binacional	18	18	4	6	8	20	33	-13
17 Ayacucho Futbol Club	15	18	4	3	11	14	27	-13
18 Comerciantes Unidos	11	18	2	5	11	17	31	-14
19 Alianza Universidad	11	18	2	5	11	16	33	-17

Head To Head

17/05/2025 13:30

Sporting Cristal

2 - 1

AD Tarma

PER D1

12/07/2024 13:15

AD Tarma

3 - 1

Sporting Cristal

PER D1

27/01/2024 13:00

Sporting Cristal

6 - 2

AD Tarma

PER D1

06/08/2023 13:15

AD Tarma

1 - 1

Sporting Cristal

PER D1

04/03/2023 14:00

Sporting Cristal

0 - 0

AD Tarma

PER D1

29/09/2022 11:00

Sporting Cristal

4 - 2

AD Tarma

PER D1

AD Tarma

17%

Draw

33%

Sporting Cristal

50%

AD Tarma Last 6 matches

26/09/2025 11:15

AD Tarma 1 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana PER D1

22/09/2025 17:15

Cusco FC 0 - 2 AD Tarma PER D1

16/09/2025 13:00

AD Tarma 3 - 1 UTC Cajamarca PER D1

31/08/2025 13:00

Atletico Grau 2 - 0 AD Tarma PER D1

24/08/2025 11:00

AD Tarma 2 - 2 FBC Melgar PER D1

16/08/2025 18:00

Alianza Lima 3 - 1 AD Tarma PER D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Sporting Cristal

21/09/2025 13:15

Juan Pablo II College 0 - 0 Sporting Cristal PER D1

17/09/2025 11:00

Sporting Cristal 0 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana PER D1

14/09/2025 15:30

Cusco FC 3 - 2 Sporting Cristal PER D1

23/08/2025 09:00

Sporting Cristal 2 - 2 UTC Cajamarca PER D1

16/08/2025 15:30

EM Deportivo Binacional 1 - 3 Sporting Cristal PER D1

10/08/2025 09:00

Sporting Cristal 1 - 0 FBC Melgar PER D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

120

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

115

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

280

Avg. per game

1.01

Conceded

173

Avg. per game

0.62

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 171 matches

YesNo

84 (49%)87 (51%)

In last 171 matches

NoYes

168 (61%)109 (39%)

AD Tarma

Recent matches

Sporting Cristal

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AD Tarma

Sporting Cristal

Shots

AD Tarma

Total shots

13.15 avg / game

Blocked

213 total

Avg. 2.66

Sporting Cristal

Total shots

12.33 avg / game

Blocked

452 total

Avg. 3.25

AD Tarma Pass Sporting Cristal

Total passes

43800

Avg. 320 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

85476

Avg. 398 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AD Tarma

171

Played games

Sporting Cristal

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.32

4.76

814

Corners

1585

5.72

6.78

1160

Throw-ins

1481

5.35

1.51

258

Offsides

578

2.09

2.40

410

GK saves

644

2.32

AD Tarma

DISCIPLINARY

Sporting Cristal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.08

355

625

2.26

0.20

0.14

9.57

1637

Fouls

3136

11.32

10.01

1712

Tackles

2699

9.74

NEXT MATCHES

Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER

08/22

Juan Pablo II College

NEXT MATCHES

Juan Pablo II College

PER

08/07

Universitario De Deportes

Alianza Atletico Sullana

How We Build the AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AD Tarma vs Sporting Cristal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AD Tarma's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sporting Cristal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where AD Tarma and Sporting Cristal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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