AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 29

AD Tarma

W D L L W

9th place in Clausura

3-0

29/03/2025 18:00

Alianza Lima

L W W D W

4th place in Clausura

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima on March 29, 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima preview before placing for you.

AD Tarma are currently 9th with 25 points after 17 matches.
Alianza Lima sit 4th with 31 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AD Tarma to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors AD Tarma, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Alianza Lima have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2025-03-29

AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima - Prediction & Odds

AD Tarma

Alianza Lima

2025-03-29 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 29/03/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	40	17	12	4	1	29	13	16
02 Cusco FC	36	17	11	3	3	29	15	14
03 Sporting Cristal	31	17	9	4	4	29	13	16
04 Alianza Lima	31	17	9	4	4	30	19	11
05 Cienciano	27	17	8	3	6	25	21	4
06 Los Chankas	27	17	9	0	8	21	28	-7
07 FBC Melgar	25	17	6	7	4	24	17	7
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	25	17	6	7	4	20	21	-1
09 AD Tarma	25	17	7	4	6	19	20	-1
10 Alianza Atletico Sullana	23	17	6	5	6	15	12	3
11 Comerciantes Unidos	23	17	6	5	6	17	22	-5
12 Sport Huancayo	18	17	5	3	9	28	28	0
13 Ayacucho Futbol Club	17	17	5	2	10	17	26	-9
14 Alianza Universidad	17	17	5	2	10	23	33	-10
15 Atletico Grau	16	17	4	4	9	19	24	-5
16 Sport Boys	16	17	4	4	9	14	25	-11
17 Juan Pablo II College	14	17	3	5	9	13	23	-10
18 UTC Cajamarca	13	17	3	4	10	16	28	-12
19 EM Deportivo Binacional	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	39	18	12	3	3	38	12	26
02 Alianza Lima	37	18	11	4	3	23	11	12
03 Cusco FC	34	18	10	4	4	34	20	14
04 Alianza Atletico Sullana	34	18	11	1	6	28	18	10
05 Sporting Cristal	32	18	10	2	6	31	24	7
06 FBC Melgar	31	18	8	7	3	28	20	8
07 Sport Huancayo	30	18	9	3	6	23	21	2
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	27	18	8	3	7	28	19	9
09 AD Tarma	24	18	6	6	6	24	30	-6
10 Cienciano	23	18	5	8	5	29	25	4
11 Los Chankas	23	18	5	8	5	24	25	-1
12 Atletico Grau	22	18	5	7	6	23	24	-1
13 Sport Boys	20	18	5	5	8	26	28	-2
14 Juan Pablo II College	19	18	5	4	9	20	28	-8
15 UTC Cajamarca	19	18	5	4	9	17	34	-17
16 EM Deportivo Binacional	18	18	4	6	8	20	33	-13
17 Ayacucho Futbol Club	15	18	4	3	11	14	27	-13
18 Comerciantes Unidos	11	18	2	5	11	17	31	-14
19 Alianza Universidad	11	18	2	5	11	16	33	-17

Head To Head

11/08/2024 01:15

Alianza Lima

0 - 0

AD Tarma

PER D1

01/03/2024 20:00

AD Tarma

2 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

21/10/2023 21:00

Alianza Lima

0 - 0

AD Tarma

PER D1

03/06/2023 01:00

AD Tarma

2 - 1

Alianza Lima

PER D1

30/10/2022 20:00

Alianza Lima

2 - 0

AD Tarma

PER D1

03/07/2022 20:00

AD Tarma

1 - 1

Alianza Lima

PER D1

AD Tarma

33%

Draw

50%

Alianza Lima

17%

AD Tarma Last 6 matches

08/03/2025 20:30

Sport Huancayo 2 - 1 AD Tarma PER D1

05/03/2025 02:00

AD Tarma 1 - 1 Cienciano CON CSA

27/02/2025 20:30

AD Tarma 2 - 2 Sport Boys PER D1

23/02/2025 18:00

Alianza Universidad 2 - 3 AD Tarma PER D1

15/02/2025 18:00

AD Tarma 4 - 3 Atletico Grau PER D1

09/02/2025 23:00

Cienciano 2 - 2 AD Tarma PER D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Alianza Lima

11/03/2025 22:00

Alianza Lima 1 - 1 Deportes Iquique CON CLA

08/03/2025 01:00

Alianza Lima 2 - 0 Ayacucho Futbol Club PER D1

04/03/2025 22:00

Deportes Iquique 1 - 2 Alianza Lima CON CLA

02/03/2025 01:00

Sporting Cristal 1 - 2 Alianza Lima PER D1

26/02/2025 00:30

Boca Juniors 2 - 1 Alianza Lima CON CLA

22/02/2025 01:00

Alianza Lima 1 - 0 Juan Pablo II College PER D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

120

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

116

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

135

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 172 matches

YesNo

84 (49%)88 (51%)

In last 172 matches

NoYes

162 (61%)105 (39%)

AD Tarma

Recent matches

Alianza Lima

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AD Tarma

Alianza Lima

Shots

AD Tarma

Total shots

13.12 avg / game

Blocked

216 total

Avg. 2.67

Alianza Lima

Total shots

11.88 avg / game

Blocked

367 total

Avg. 2.84

AD Tarma Pass Alianza Lima

Total passes

44132

Avg. 320 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

74232

Avg. 352 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AD Tarma

172

Played games

Alianza Lima

267

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

112

0.42

4.77

820

Corners

1297

4.86

6.85

1179

Throw-ins

1343

5.03

1.51

260

Offsides

417

1.56

2.40

412

GK saves

582

2.18

AD Tarma

DISCIPLINARY

Alianza Lima

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.08

358

592

2.22

0.20

0.17

9.62

1655

Fouls

3059

11.46

10.02

1724

Tackles

2675

10.02

NEXT MATCHES

Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER

08/22

Juan Pablo II College

NEXT MATCHES

Juan Pablo II College

Alianza Lima

PER

How We Build the AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima on 29 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AD Tarma vs Alianza Lima Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AD Tarma's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alianza Lima's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where AD Tarma and Alianza Lima sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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