AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 28

AC Milan

W D L L W

5th place in Italian Serie A

2-1

28/09/2025 14:45

Napoli

L W D L W

2nd place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AC Milan vs Napoli on September 28, 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AC Milan vs Napoli preview before placing for you.

AC Milan are currently 5th with 70 points after 38 matches.
Napoli sit 2nd with 76 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: AC Milan and Napoli have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-09-28

AC Milan vs Napoli - Prediction & Odds

AC Milan

Napoli

2025-09-28 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	87	38	27	6	5	89	35	54
02 Napoli	76	38	23	7	8	58	36	22
03 AS Roma	73	38	23	4	11	59	31	28
04 Como	71	38	20	11	7	65	29	36
05 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	53	35	18
06 Juventus	69	38	19	12	7	61	34	27
07 Atalanta	59	38	15	14	9	51	36	15
08 Bologna	56	38	16	8	14	49	46	3
09 Lazio	54	38	14	12	12	41	40	1
10 Udinese	50	38	14	8	16	45	48	-3
11 Sassuolo	49	38	14	7	17	46	50	-4
12 Torino	45	38	12	9	17	44	63	-19
13 Parma	45	38	11	12	15	28	46	-18
14 Cagliari	43	38	11	10	17	40	53	-13
15 Fiorentina	42	38	9	15	14	41	50	-9
16 Genoa	41	38	10	11	17	41	51	-10
17 Lecce	38	38	10	8	20	28	50	-22
18 Cremonese	34	38	8	10	20	32	57	-25
19 Verona	21	38	3	12	23	25	61	-36
20 Pisa	18	38	2	12	24	26	71	-45

Head To Head

30/03/2025 14:45

Napoli

2 - 1

AC Milan

ITA D1

29/10/2024 15:45

AC Milan

0 - 2

Napoli

ITA D1

11/02/2024 15:45

AC Milan

1 - 0

Napoli

ITA D1

29/10/2023 15:45

Napoli

2 - 2

AC Milan

ITA D1

18/04/2023 15:00

Napoli

1 - 1

AC Milan

UEFA CL

12/04/2023 15:00

AC Milan

1 - 0

Napoli

UEFA CL

AC Milan

33%

Draw

33%

Napoli

33%

AC Milan Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 14:45

Udinese 0 - 3 AC Milan ITA D1

14/09/2025 14:45

AC Milan 1 - 0 Bologna ITA D1

29/08/2025 14:45

Lecce 0 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1

23/08/2025 14:45

AC Milan 1 - 2 Cremonese ITA D1

17/08/2025 15:15

AC Milan 2 - 0 Bari ITA Cup

10/08/2025 10:00

Chelsea 4 - 1 AC Milan INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Napoli

18/09/2025 15:00

Manchester City 2 - 0 Napoli UEFA CL

13/09/2025 14:45

Fiorentina 1 - 3 Napoli ITA D1

30/08/2025 14:45

Napoli 1 - 0 Cagliari ITA D1

23/08/2025 12:30

Sassuolo 0 - 2 Napoli ITA D1

14/08/2025 12:00

Napoli 2 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus INT CF

10/08/2025 05:00

Napoli 4 - 0 AS Sorrento Calcio INT CF

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

270

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

183

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

288

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

178 (59%)122 (41%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

190 (63%)110 (37%)

AC Milan

Recent matches

Napoli

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AC Milan

Napoli

Shots

AC Milan

Total shots

14.07 avg / game

Blocked

911 total

Avg. 3.78

Napoli

Total shots

14.52 avg / game

Blocked

1014 total

Avg. 4.17

AC Milan Pass Napoli

Total passes

129020

Avg. 471 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

140567

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AC Milan

300

Played games

Napoli

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

102

Clean sheets

112

0.37

4.89

1468

Corners

1688

5.63

15.04

4513

Throw-ins

4893

16.31

1.62

486

Offsides

467

1.56

2.69

806

GK saves

642

2.14

AC Milan

DISCIPLINARY

Napoli

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

558

450

1.50

0.10

0.06

10.94

3281

Fouls

3037

10.12

13.40

4021

Tackles

3447

11.49

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AC Milan vs Napoli on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AC Milan vs Napoli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AC Milan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Napoli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where AC Milan and Napoli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Italian Serie A Predictions

Find every upcoming Italian Serie A fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less