AC Milan vs Lecce: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

AC Milan

L W W W L

8th place in Italian Serie A

3-0

27/09/2024 14:45

Lecce

L D L D W

17th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce on 27 September 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AC Milan vs Lecce preview before placing your bet.

AC Milan are currently 8th with 63 points after 38 matches.
Lecce sit 17th with 34 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 70%.
Head-to-head history favors AC Milan, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Lecce have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2024-09-27

AC Milan vs Lecce - Prediction & Odds

AC Milan

Lecce

2024-09-27 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Napoli	82	38	24	10	4	59	27	32
02 Inter Milan	81	38	24	9	5	79	35	44
03 Atalanta	74	38	22	8	8	78	37	41
04 Juventus	70	38	18	16	4	58	35	23
05 AS Roma	69	38	20	9	9	56	35	21
06 Fiorentina	65	38	19	8	11	60	41	19
07 Lazio	65	38	18	11	9	61	49	12
08 AC Milan	63	38	18	9	11	61	43	18
09 Bologna	62	38	16	14	8	57	47	10
10 Como	49	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3
11 Torino	44	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6
12 Udinese	44	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15
13 Genoa	43	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12
14 Verona	37	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32
15 Cagliari	36	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16
16 Parma	36	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14
17 Lecce	34	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31
18 Empoli	31	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26
19 Venezia	29	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24
20 Monza	18	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41

Head To Head

06/04/2024 09:00

AC Milan

3 - 0

Lecce

ITA D1

11/11/2023 10:00

Lecce

2 - 2

AC Milan

ITA D1

23/04/2023 11:59

AC Milan

2 - 0

Lecce

ITA D1

14/01/2023 13:00

Lecce

2 - 2

AC Milan

ITA D1

22/06/2020 13:30

Lecce

1 - 4

AC Milan

ITA D1

20/10/2019 14:45

AC Milan

2 - 2

Lecce

ITA D1

AC Milan

50%

Draw

50%

Lecce

AC Milan Last 6 matches

22/09/2024 14:45

Inter Milan 1 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1

17/09/2024 15:00

AC Milan 1 - 3 Liverpool UEFA CL

14/09/2024 14:45

AC Milan 4 - 0 Venezia ITA D1

31/08/2024 14:45

Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1

24/08/2024 12:30

Parma 2 - 1 AC Milan ITA D1

17/08/2024 14:45

AC Milan 2 - 2 Torino ITA D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Lecce

24/09/2024 10:00

Lecce 0 - 2 Sassuolo ITA Cup

21/09/2024 14:45

Lecce 2 - 2 Parma ITA D1

15/09/2024 09:00

Torino 0 - 0 Lecce ITA D1

31/08/2024 12:30

Lecce 1 - 0 Cagliari ITA D1

24/08/2024 14:45

Inter Milan 2 - 0 Lecce ITA D1

19/08/2024 12:30

Lecce 0 - 4 Atalanta ITA D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

247

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

150

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

149

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

168 (56%)132 (44%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

115 (43%)151 (57%)

AC Milan

Recent matches

Lecce

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AC Milan

Lecce

Shots

AC Milan

Total shots

14.07 avg / game

Blocked

911 total

Avg. 3.78

Lecce

Total shots

12.28 avg / game

Blocked

600 total

Avg. 3.28

AC Milan Pass Lecce

Total passes

129020

Avg. 471 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

69560

Avg. 355 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AC Milan

300

Played games

Lecce

266

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

102

Clean sheets

0.26

4.89

1468

Corners

1267

4.76

15.04

4513

Throw-ins

3254

12.23

1.62

486

Offsides

430

1.62

2.69

806

GK saves

678

2.55

AC Milan

DISCIPLINARY

Lecce

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

558

517

1.94

0.10

0.09

10.94

3281

Fouls

3299

12.40

13.40

4021

Tackles

3000

11.28

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce on 27 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AC Milan vs Lecce Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AC Milan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lecce's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where AC Milan and Lecce sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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