AC Milan vs Lazio: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 September

AC Milan

L D D W L

2nd place in Italian Serie A

2-0

30/09/2023 11:59

Lazio

W W D W D

7th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AC Milan vs Lazio on 30 September 2023 (kick-off: 11:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AC Milan vs Lazio preview before placing your bet.

AC Milan are currently 2nd with 75 points after 38 matches.
Lazio sit 7th with 61 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors AC Milan, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Lazio have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:59

2023-09-30

AC Milan vs Lazio - Prediction & Odds

AC Milan

Lazio

2023-09-30 11:59

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	94	38	29	7	2	89	22	67
02 AC Milan	75	38	22	9	7	76	49	27
03 Juventus	71	38	19	14	5	54	31	23
04 Atalanta	69	38	21	6	11	72	42	30
05 Bologna	68	38	18	14	6	54	32	22
06 AS Roma	63	38	18	9	11	65	46	19
07 Lazio	61	38	18	7	13	49	39	10
08 Fiorentina	60	38	17	9	12	61	46	15
09 Torino	53	38	13	14	11	36	36	0
10 Napoli	53	38	13	14	11	55	48	7
11 Genoa	49	38	12	13	13	45	45	0
12 Monza	45	38	11	12	15	39	51	-12
13 Verona	38	38	9	11	18	38	51	-13
14 Lecce	38	38	8	14	16	32	54	-22
15 Udinese	37	38	6	19	13	37	53	-16
16 Cagliari	36	38	8	12	18	42	68	-26
17 Empoli	36	38	9	9	20	29	54	-25
18 Frosinone	35	38	8	11	19	44	69	-25
19 Sassuolo	30	38	7	9	22	43	75	-32
20 Salernitana	17	38	2	11	25	32	81	-49

Head To Head

06/05/2023 09:00

AC Milan

2 - 0

Lazio

ITA D1

24/01/2023 15:45

Lazio

4 - 0

AC Milan

ITA D1

24/04/2022 14:45

Lazio

1 - 2

AC Milan

ITA D1

09/02/2022 16:00

AC Milan

4 - 0

Lazio

ITA Cup

12/09/2021 11:59

AC Milan

2 - 0

Lazio

ITA D1

26/04/2021 14:45

Lazio

3 - 0

AC Milan

ITA D1

AC Milan

67%

Draw

Lazio

33%

AC Milan Last 6 matches

23/09/2023 09:25

AC Milan 1 - 0 Verona ITA D1

19/09/2023 12:45

AC Milan 0 - 0 Newcastle United UEFA CL

16/09/2023 11:59

Inter Milan 5 - 1 AC Milan ITA D1

01/09/2023 14:45

AS Roma 1 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1

26/08/2023 14:45

AC Milan 4 - 1 Torino ITA D1

21/08/2023 14:45

Bologna 0 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Lazio

19/09/2023 15:00

Lazio 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

16/09/2023 09:00

Juventus 3 - 1 Lazio ITA D1

02/09/2023 14:45

Napoli 1 - 2 Lazio ITA D1

27/08/2023 14:45

Lazio 0 - 1 Genoa ITA D1

20/08/2023 14:45

Lecce 2 - 1 Lazio ITA D1

13/08/2023 15:00

Latina 0 - 9 Lazio INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

270

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

183

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

255

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

197

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

178 (59%)122 (41%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

174 (58%)126 (42%)

AC Milan

Recent matches

Lazio

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AC Milan

Lazio

Shots

AC Milan

Total shots

14.07 avg / game

Blocked

911 total

Avg. 3.78

Lazio

Total shots

11.97 avg / game

Blocked

726 total

Avg. 3.00

AC Milan Pass Lazio

Total passes

129020

Avg. 471 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

136882

Avg. 515 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AC Milan

300

Played games

Lazio

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

102

Clean sheets

110

0.37

4.89

1468

Corners

1383

4.61

15.04

4513

Throw-ins

4635

15.45

1.62

486

Offsides

433

1.44

2.69

806

GK saves

714

2.38

AC Milan

DISCIPLINARY

Lazio

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

558

665

2.22

0.10

0.14

10.94

3281

Fouls

3140

10.47

13.40

4021

Tackles

3630

12.10

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AC Milan vs Lazio Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AC Milan vs Lazio on 30 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AC Milan vs Lazio Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AC Milan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lazio's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where AC Milan and Lazio sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Italian Serie A Predictions

Find every upcoming Italian Serie A fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less