AC Milan vs Cagliari: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

AC Milan

L D D W L

2nd place in Italian Serie A

5-1

11/05/2024 18:45

Cagliari

D L D L W

16th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AC Milan vs Cagliari on 11 May 2024 (kick-off: 18:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AC Milan vs Cagliari preview before placing your bet.

AC Milan are currently 2nd with 75 points after 38 matches.
Cagliari sit 16th with 36 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 67%.
Head-to-head history favors AC Milan, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Cagliari have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:45

2024-05-11

AC Milan vs Cagliari - Prediction & Odds

AC Milan

Cagliari

2024-05-11 18:45

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	94	38	29	7	2	89	22	67
02 AC Milan	75	38	22	9	7	76	49	27
03 Juventus	71	38	19	14	5	54	31	23
04 Atalanta	69	38	21	6	11	72	42	30
05 Bologna	68	38	18	14	6	54	32	22
06 AS Roma	63	38	18	9	11	65	46	19
07 Lazio	61	38	18	7	13	49	39	10
08 Fiorentina	60	38	17	9	12	61	46	15
09 Torino	53	38	13	14	11	36	36	0
10 Napoli	53	38	13	14	11	55	48	7
11 Genoa	49	38	12	13	13	45	45	0
12 Monza	45	38	11	12	15	39	51	-12
13 Verona	38	38	9	11	18	38	51	-13
14 Lecce	38	38	8	14	16	32	54	-22
15 Udinese	37	38	6	19	13	37	53	-16
16 Cagliari	36	38	8	12	18	42	68	-26
17 Empoli	36	38	9	9	20	29	54	-25
18 Frosinone	35	38	8	11	19	44	69	-25
19 Sassuolo	30	38	7	9	22	43	75	-32
20 Salernitana	17	38	2	11	25	32	81	-49

Head To Head

02/01/2024 20:00

AC Milan

4 - 1

Cagliari

ITA Cup

27/09/2023 16:30

Cagliari

1 - 3

AC Milan

ITA D1

19/03/2022 19:45

Cagliari

0 - 1

AC Milan

ITA D1

29/08/2021 18:45

AC Milan

4 - 1

Cagliari

ITA D1

16/05/2021 18:45

AC Milan

0 - 0

Cagliari

ITA D1

18/01/2021 19:45

Cagliari

0 - 2

AC Milan

ITA D1

AC Milan

83%

Draw

17%

Cagliari

AC Milan Last 6 matches

27/04/2024 15:59

Juventus 0 - 0 AC Milan ITA D1

22/04/2024 18:45

AC Milan 1 - 2 Inter Milan ITA D1

18/04/2024 19:00

AS Roma 2 - 1 AC Milan UEFA EL

14/04/2024 13:00

Sassuolo 3 - 3 AC Milan ITA D1

11/04/2024 19:00

AC Milan 0 - 1 AS Roma UEFA EL

06/04/2024 13:00

AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce ITA D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Cagliari

29/04/2024 18:45

Genoa 3 - 0 Cagliari ITA D1

19/04/2024 18:45

Cagliari 2 - 2 Juventus ITA D1

14/04/2024 18:45

Inter Milan 2 - 2 Cagliari ITA D1

07/04/2024 15:59

Cagliari 2 - 1 Atalanta ITA D1

01/04/2024 13:00

Cagliari 1 - 1 Verona ITA D1

16/03/2024 14:00

Monza 1 - 0 Cagliari ITA D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

270

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

183

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

199

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

221

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

178 (59%)122 (41%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

142 (52%)132 (48%)

AC Milan

Recent matches

Cagliari

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AC Milan

Cagliari

Shots

AC Milan

Total shots

14.07 avg / game

Blocked

911 total

Avg. 3.78

Cagliari

Total shots

11.73 avg / game

Blocked

601 total

Avg. 2.99

AC Milan Pass Cagliari

Total passes

129020

Avg. 471 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

93049

Avg. 386 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AC Milan

300

Played games

Cagliari

274

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

102

Clean sheets

0.22

4.89

1468

Corners

1211

4.42

15.04

4513

Throw-ins

4576

16.70

1.62

486

Offsides

463

1.69

2.69

806

GK saves

752

2.74

AC Milan

DISCIPLINARY

Cagliari

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

558

536

1.96

0.10

0.08

10.94

3281

Fouls

3385

12.35

13.40

4021

Tackles

3026

11.04

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AC Milan vs Cagliari Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AC Milan vs Cagliari on 11 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AC Milan vs Cagliari Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AC Milan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Cagliari's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where AC Milan and Cagliari sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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