Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 September

Aberystwyth Town

L L L D W

10th place in League

2 - 4

09/09/2023 09:30

Caernarfon

D W L L W

6th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon on 09 September 2023 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Aberystwyth Town are currently 10th with 15 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 6th with 31 points from 22 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Aberystwyth Town, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 09/09/2023

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	62	22	20	2	0	77	14	63
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	15	2	5	59	29	30
03 Bala Town F.C.	37	22	10	7	5	25	20	5
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	34	22	9	7	6	28	39	-11
05 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	35	31	4
06 Caernarfon	31	22	9	4	9	40	41	-1
07 Haverfordwest County	28	22	7	7	8	29	33	-4
08 Pen-y-Bont FC	25	22	8	4	10	28	32	-4
09 Barry Town United	23	22	6	5	11	27	41	-14
10 Aberystwyth Town	15	22	4	3	15	18	46	-28
11 Colwyn Bay	14	22	4	2	16	27	49	-22
12 Pontypridd	13	22	5	4	13	13	31	-18

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	92	10	10	0	0	40	4	36
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	59	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3
03 Bala Town F.C.	51	10	3	5	2	13	11	2
04 Newtown AFC	44	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
05 Caernarfon	41	10	2	4	4	12	29	-17
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	39	10	1	2	7	7	24	-17

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pen-y-Bont FC	46	10	6	3	1	18	5	13
02 Haverfordwest County	43	10	4	3	3	10	7	3
03 Barry Town United	32	10	1	6	3	9	13	-4
04 Aberystwyth Town	27	10	3	3	4	9	11	-2
05 Pontypridd	25	10	3	3	4	10	10	0
06 Colwyn Bay	25	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10

Head To Head

22/04/2023 07:45

Aberystwyth Town

3 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

17/03/2023 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 1

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

21/01/2023 13:15

Aberystwyth Town

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

21/10/2022 14:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

17/12/2021 15:45

Caernarfon

3 - 3

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

09/10/2021 09:30

Aberystwyth Town

0 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Aberystwyth Town

50%

Draw

17%

Caernarfon

33%

Aberystwyth Town Last 6 matches

01/09/2023 14:45

The New Saints 6 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

29/08/2023 15:00

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 1 Pontypridd Welsh PR

26/08/2023 12:15

Newtown AFC 0 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

18/08/2023 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 4 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

12/08/2023 09:30

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 1 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

05/08/2023 09:30

Barry Town United 1 - 2 Aberystwyth Town WAL CLC

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

01/09/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 0 - 4 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

29/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

26/08/2023 09:30

Haverfordwest County 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

18/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

13/08/2023 12:15

Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon Welsh PR

04/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Porthmadog WAL CLC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

153

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

233

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored

233

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.03

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 223 matches

YesNo

104 (47%)119 (53%)

In last 223 matches

NoYes

145 (60%)95 (40%)

Aberystwyth Town

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aberystwyth Town

Caernarfon

Shots

Aberystwyth Town

Total shots

8.26 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Aberystwyth Town Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aberystwyth Town

223

Played games

Caernarfon

240

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.24

3.82

852

Corners

1040

4.33

0.00

Throw-ins

0.13

0.20

Offsides

0.12

1.53

341

GK saves

379

1.58

Aberystwyth Town

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

434

427

1.78

0.12

0.12

1.06

236

Fouls

110

0.46

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon on 09 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aberystwyth Town's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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