Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Aberystwyth Town

L L L D L

10th place in Welsh Premier League

2 - 1

21/01/2023 13:15

Caernarfon

L L L L W

8th place in Welsh Premier League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon on 21 January 2023 (kick-off: 13:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Aberystwyth Town are currently 10th with 22 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 8th with 25 points from 22 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	60	22	19	3	0	83	8	75
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	44	22	13	5	4	33	14	19
03 Pen-y-Bont FC	41	22	12	5	5	37	19	18
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	41	22	13	2	7	29	29	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	40	22	12	4	6	42	21	21
06 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	41	39	2
07 Haverfordwest County	27	22	8	3	11	29	35	-6
08 Caernarfon	25	22	8	1	13	33	41	-8
09 Flint Town	24	22	6	6	10	24	37	-13
10 Aberystwyth Town	22	22	7	1	14	23	58	-35
11 Pontypridd	20	22	6	2	14	22	42	-20
12 Airbus UK Broughton	1	22	0	1	21	13	66	-53

Aberystwyth Town Last 6 matches

01/08/2026 20:30

Afan Lido 2 - 5 Aberystwyth Town Wales FAW Championship

18/04/2026 18:30

Ynyshir Albions 0 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Wales FAW Championship

11/04/2026 20:00

Cwmbran Celtic 3 - 1 Aberystwyth Town Wales FAW Championship

04/04/2026 20:30

Aberystwyth Town 2 - 2 Llantwit Major Wales FAW Championship

28/03/2026 21:30

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 1 Afan Lido Wales FAW Championship

21/03/2026 21:00

Cambrian Clydach 2 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Wales FAW Championship

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

02/08/2026 20:30

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh Premier League

16/07/2026 23:30

Levadia Tallinn 5 - 0 Caernarfon UEFA Conference League

10/07/2026 00:30

Caernarfon 0 - 5 Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League

20/06/2026 23:00

Glentoran FC 1 - 2 Caernarfon International Club Friendly

18/04/2026 23:15

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Penybont FC Welsh Premier League

12/04/2026 21:15

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Flint Town Wales Cup

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

109

Avg. per game

0.49

Conceded

158

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

160

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

177

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 224 matches

YesNo

86 (38%)138 (62%)

In last 224 matches

NoYes

114 (47%)127 (53%)

Aberystwyth Town

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aberystwyth Town

Caernarfon

Shots

Aberystwyth Town

Total shots

8.27 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Aberystwyth Town Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aberystwyth Town

224

Played games

Caernarfon

241

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.24

3.84

860

Corners

1044

4.33

0.00

Throw-ins

0.12

0.20

Offsides

0.12

1.52

341

GK saves

379

1.57

Aberystwyth Town

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

437

430

1.78

0.12

0.12

1.05

236

Fouls

110

0.46

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon on 21 January 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aberystwyth Town's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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