Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 December

Aberystwyth Town

L L W D L

12th place in League

3-1

21/12/2024 10:30

Caernarfon

D W L L W

4th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon on 21 December 2024 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Aberystwyth Town are currently 12th with 14 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 4th with 34 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Caernarfon to win with probability 64%.
Head-to-head history favors Aberystwyth Town, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2024-12-21

Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

Aberystwyth Town

Caernarfon

2024-12-21 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 21/12/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	51	22	17	0	5	61	26	35
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	50	22	15	5	2	42	16	26
03 Haverfordwest County	40	22	11	7	4	29	11	18
04 Caernarfon	34	22	10	4	8	35	35	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	22	7	11	4	28	21	7
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	32	22	9	5	8	32	29	3
07 Barry Town United	30	22	8	6	8	32	38	-6
08 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	26	22	7	5	10	32	26	6
09 Briton Ferry Athletic	21	22	6	3	13	33	45	-12
10 Flint Town	20	22	6	2	14	27	47	-20
11 Newtown AFC	19	22	5	4	13	24	46	-22
12 Aberystwyth Town	14	22	4	2	16	18	53	-35

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	78	10	9	0	1	28	5	23
02 Pen-y-Bont FC	64	10	4	2	4	14	16	-2
03 Haverfordwest County	51	10	2	5	3	10	15	-5
04 Caernarfon	48	10	4	2	4	18	16	2
05 UWIC Inter Cardiff	44	10	3	3	4	11	17	-6
06 Bala Town F.C.	37	10	1	2	7	10	22	-12

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Barry Town United	52	10	7	1	2	23	13	10
02 Flint Town	42	10	7	1	2	21	15	6
03 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	42	10	5	1	4	15	9	6
04 Briton Ferry Athletic	32	10	3	2	5	13	20	-7
05 Newtown AFC	26	10	1	4	5	12	19	-7
06 Aberystwyth Town	21	10	2	1	7	10	18	-8

Head To Head

15/10/2024 14:45

Caernarfon

1 - 4

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

17/10/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

3 - 0

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

09/09/2023 09:30

Aberystwyth Town

2 - 4

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

22/04/2023 07:45

Aberystwyth Town

3 - 2

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

17/03/2023 15:45

Caernarfon

0 - 1

Aberystwyth Town

Welsh PR

21/01/2023 13:15

Aberystwyth Town

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Aberystwyth Town

67%

Draw

Caernarfon

33%

Aberystwyth Town Last 6 matches

04/12/2024 15:45

Flint Town 3 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

30/11/2024 10:30

Aberystwyth Town 1 - 1 Cardiff City U21 WAL CLC

23/11/2024 10:30

UWIC Inter Cardiff 3 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

08/11/2024 15:45

Aberystwyth Town 3 - 1 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

02/11/2024 13:15

Briton Ferry Athletic 4 - 0 Aberystwyth Town Welsh PR

27/10/2024 09:00

Aberystwyth Town 2 - 4 The New Saints Welsh PR

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

14/12/2024 10:30

Caernarfon 3 - 2 Barry Town United Welsh PR

03/12/2024 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

09/11/2024 10:30

Briton Ferry Athletic 0 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

02/11/2024 10:30

Caernarfon 1 - 5 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

26/10/2024 12:15

Haverfordwest County 0 - 0 Caernarfon Welsh PR

18/10/2024 14:45

Holyhead 0 - 0 Caernarfon WALC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

153

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

233

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored

233

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.03

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 223 matches

YesNo

104 (47%)119 (53%)

In last 223 matches

NoYes

145 (60%)95 (40%)

Aberystwyth Town

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aberystwyth Town

Caernarfon

Shots

Aberystwyth Town

Total shots

8.26 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Aberystwyth Town Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aberystwyth Town

223

Played games

Caernarfon

240

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.24

3.82

852

Corners

1040

4.33

0.00

Throw-ins

0.13

0.20

Offsides

0.12

1.53

341

GK saves

379

1.58

Aberystwyth Town

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

434

427

1.78

0.12

0.12

1.06

236

Fouls

110

0.46

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon on 21 December 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aberystwyth Town's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Welsh Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming Welsh Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less